NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Advance, MO
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
5 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Advance, Missouri since 1851, 0 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Olga in 2019. Since 1950, 128 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 11 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 0
- Tropical storms
- 5
- Tornadoes
- 128
- EF3 or stronger
- 11
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
18 deaths in all
What the records show for Advance
None of the 5 tropical systems was at hurricane strength as it passed Advance; the strongest was Ike in 2008, a tropical storm with 47 mph winds when its centre passed 65 miles away. The record near Advance begins with an unnamed storm in 1906; the most recent system was Olga in 2019, a tropical storm 49 miles away. Of the 5 systems, 2 have come since 2000. Advance has more tropical storms and hurricanes within 75 miles than 87% of the 334 Missouri cities on this site. The strongest of the 128 tornadoes within 25 miles was an F4 on April 22, 1981; its path came within 24 miles, and it killed 1 person. The deadliest, an EF2 on April 5, 2023, killed 5 people. Of the 128, 7 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 69 have come since 2000. May has had the most tornadoes, 33. The most recent tornado was on May 20, 2025. Advance has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 76% of the 334 Missouri cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 53 times since 1994, with stones up to 2.75 inches (baseball size). Of the 334 Missouri cities, 86% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Advance.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Advance
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | OlgaOct 26 | 49 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2008 | IkeSep 14 | 65 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1941 | Unnamed 1941 stormSep 25 | 11 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 20 | 2 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1906 | Unnamed 1906 stormSep 29 | 44 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Advance: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Advance
By decade
- 2020s23(3 EF3+)
- 2010s24(2 EF3+)
- 2000s22(2 EF3+)
- 1990s17
- 1980s14(1 EF3+)
- 1970s11(2 EF3+)
- 1960s9(1 EF3+)
- 1950s8
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 1981 | F4 | 24 mi | 63 mi | 1 / 32 |
| May 16, 2025 | EF3 | 12 mi | 16.1 mi | 2 / 10 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | EF3 | 20 mi | 28.64 mi | 1 / 1 |
| Feb 29, 2012 | EF3 | 6 mi | 19.96 mi | 1 / 0 |
| Apr 27, 2002 | F3 | 12 mi | 4 mi | 1 / 16 |
| Feb 21, 1976 | F3 | 18 mi | 23.7 mi | 1 / 16 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF3 | 23 mi | 19.57 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Nov 17, 2013 | EF3 | 11 mi | 14.25 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 6, 2003 | F3 | 23 mi | 2 mi | 0 / 2 |
| May 7, 1973 | F3 | 20 mi | 36 mi | 0 / 7 |
| Mar 25, 1964 | F3 | 20 mi | 46 mi | 0 / 26 |
| Apr 5, 2023 | EF2 | 16 mi | 20.66 mi | 5 / 4 |
The strongest 12 of 128, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Advance
The Storm Prediction Center has 53 hail reports within 10 miles of Advance since 1994, made on 37 separate days. Of these, 33 were 1 inch across or larger, and 5 reached 2 inches. The largest size, 2.75 inches (baseball size), was reported on 3 days, most recently May 16, 2025. The most recent report is from May 16, 2025. April has the most reports, 20.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Advance
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Marble Hill, MO, 14 miles north of Advance at 390 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 90°F and low of 68°F; January is the coolest, at 46°F and 25°F. April is the wettest at 5.8 inches of precipitation on average and January and February the driest at 3.3 inches; the year adds up to 51.8 inches over 77 days with at least a tenth of an inch. Highs reach 90°F on about 38 days a year, almost all from June to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 95 nights a year. That 51.8 inches is more than at 130 of the 134 Missouri stations used on this site (97%). Bloomfield, 13 miles south, has its own station (Sikeston Pwr Stn, MO): 49.8 inches a year, 2.0 less than here, and a July average high of 91°F against 90°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 46 | 25 | 3.3 | 5 |
| Feb | 51 | 29 | 3.3 | 5 |
| Mar | 61 | 36 | 4.8 | 7 |
| Apr | 72 | 46 | 5.8 | 8 |
| May | 79 | 56 | 5.7 | 9 |
| Jun | 86 | 64 | 4.0 | 7 |
| Jul | 90 | 68 | 4.5 | 7 |
| Aug | 89 | 66 | 3.9 | 5 |
| Sep | 83 | 58 | 3.6 | 5 |
| Oct | 73 | 46 | 4.1 | 6 |
| Nov | 59 | 36 | 4.8 | 6 |
| Dec | 49 | 29 | 4.0 | 7 |
| Year | 70 | 47 | 51.8 | 77 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Marble Hill, MO (390 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Advance
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 67 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Advance: 51 thunderstorm wind reports, 12 flash floods, 2 floods and 2 heavy rain events. They killed 0 people and injured 3, and the NWS estimated $1.9 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 100 mph, on May 3, 2020. April has had the most flash floods, 5 of 12. Of the 334 Missouri cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 106 have had fewer than Advance.
June 26, 2022: thunderstorm wind in Advance — 2 injured, $30,000 damage.
NWS: “Significant wind damage was reported across a good part of northern Stoddard County, including the Advance and Bell City areas. The most significant damage was on Highway 51 right near the Bollinger County line, where several large trees were broken and a half-ton truck and camper were flipped over.”
June 1, 2006: thunderstorm wind in Advance — 1 injured, $71,000 damage.
NWS: “A thunderstorm downburst containing winds estimated near 65 MPH moved northeast across the community of Advance. The damage path was about 3/4 mile long and 440 yards wide.”
April 30, 2017: flash flood 4 miles from the centre of Advance — $500,000 damage.
NWS: “Significant flash flooding of creeks and roads occurred around the county. In Marble Hill, Crooked Creek rose far outside its banks into portions of the city.”
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Advance's ZIP code 63730 have filed 20 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1979, and were paid $155,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. 60% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 172 Missouri cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 35 have fewer than Advance.
Stoddard County, which includes Advance, has been named in 26 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1973, 20 of them major disasters (by incident: 16 severe storms, 3 floods, 3 ice storms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, on May 21, 2025. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Stoddard County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for tornadoes, strong wind, lightning and heat waves; Relatively Low for hail and inland flooding; Very Low for hurricanes. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $28.9 million a year, the 29th highest of 115 Missouri counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $4.5 million (16%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Advance
- Bloomfield, MO13 mi
- Oran, MO13 mi
- Chaffee, MO14 mi
- Marble Hill, MO15 mi
- Puxico, MO16 mi
- Benton, MO21 mi
- Dexter, MO22 mi
- Scott City, MO23 mi
- Wappapello, MO23 mi
- Sikeston, MO23 mi
- Cape Girardeau, MO25 mi
- Jackson, MO26 mi
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