NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Cincinnatus, NY
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
9 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Cincinnatus, New York since 1851, 1 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was David in 1979. Since 1950, 29 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 0 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 1
- Tropical storms
- 8
- Tornadoes
- 29
- EF3 or stronger
- 0
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
2 deaths in all
What the records show for Cincinnatus
The strongest storm to pass near Cincinnatus was an unnamed storm in 1878, a Category 1 hurricane with 78 mph winds when its centre passed 72 miles away. The record near Cincinnatus begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was David in 1979, a tropical storm 41 miles away. The 1870s and the 1970s were the busiest decades, with 2 systems each. None of the 9 systems has come since 2000. Of the 809 New York cities on this site, 49% have more hurricanes within 75 miles than Cincinnatus. The highest rating among the 29 tornadoes within 25 miles is F2 or EF2, reached 5 times; the most recent, on April 28, 2011, came within 8 miles. The deadliest, an F2 on October 14, 1989, killed 2 people. Of the 29, 2 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 13 have come since 2000. May has had the most tornadoes, 7. The most recent tornado was on July 15, 2024. Cincinnatus has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 50% of the 809 New York cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 32 times since 1978, with stones up to 3 inches (tea cup size). Of the 809 New York cities, 64% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Cincinnatus.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Cincinnatus
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1979 | DavidSep 6 | 41 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1972 | AgnesJun 23 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1949 | Unnamed 1949 stormAug 29 | 62 mi | Tropical storm (55 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1933 | Unnamed 1933 stormAug 24 | 9 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1929 | Unnamed 1929 stormOct 3 | 55 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1903 | Unnamed 1903 stormSep 17 | 36 mi | Tropical storm (49 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1885 | Unnamed 1885 stormOct 14 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormOct 23 | 72 mi | Category 1 (78 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 18 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Cincinnatus: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Cincinnatus
By decade
- 2020s6
- 2010s3
- 2000s4
- 1990s11
- 1980s2
- 1970s2
- 1960s1
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 1989 | F2 | 9 mi | 2 mi | 2 / 3 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF2 | 8 mi | 7.37 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 16, 2009 | EF2 | 15 mi | 5.26 mi | 0 / 1 |
| May 31, 1998 | F2 | 17 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 18, 1977 | F2 | 22 mi | 2 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | EF1 | 8 mi | 8.69 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 7, 2023 | EF1 | 9 mi | 9.71 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 21, 2021 | EF1 | 19 mi | 2.8 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 22, 2017 | EF1 | 19 mi | 0.15 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF1 | 13 mi | 3.39 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 29, 2003 | F1 | 17 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 2, 1998 | F1 | 4 mi | 0.3 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 29, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Cincinnatus
The Storm Prediction Center has 32 hail reports within 10 miles of Cincinnatus since 1978, made on 23 separate days. Of these, 18 were 1 inch across or larger, and 4 reached 2 inches. The largest, 3 inches (tea cup size), fell on June 9, 2011. The most recent report is from July 30, 2019. June has the most reports, 13.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Cincinnatus
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Tully Heiberg Forest, NY, 16 miles northwest of Cincinnatus at 1,899 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 77°F and low of 57°F; January is the coolest, at 29°F and 11°F. June is the wettest at 5.1 inches of precipitation on average and January and February the driest at 2.9 inches; the year adds up to 48.7 inches over 104 days with at least a tenth of an inch. Highs reach 90°F on about 1 days a year. Lows fall below freezing on about 164 nights a year. Snowfall averages 117.3 inches a year, most of it in March. That 48.7 inches is more than at 114 of the 137 New York stations used on this site (83%). Marathon, 10 miles southwest, has its own station (Ithaca 13 E, NY): 41.6 inches a year, 7.1 less than here, and a July average high of 79°F against 77°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 29 | 11 | 2.9 | 9 | 25.2 |
| Feb | 31 | 12 | 2.9 | 8 | 24.8 |
| Mar | 39 | 20 | 3.7 | 10 | 25.4 |
| Apr | 52 | 31 | 4.2 | 9 | 7.5 |
| May | 65 | 43 | 3.6 | 9 | 0.5 |
| Jun | 73 | 52 | 5.1 | 10 | 0.0 |
| Jul | 77 | 57 | 4.6 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Aug | 76 | 55 | 4.8 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Sep | 69 | 48 | 4.9 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Oct | 57 | 38 | 4.5 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Nov | 45 | 28 | 3.9 | 9 | 11.2 |
| Dec | 34 | 18 | 3.6 | 8 | 21.1 |
| Year | 54 | 34 | 48.7 | 104 | 117.3 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Tully Heiberg Forest, NY (1,899 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Cincinnatus
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 93 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Cincinnatus: 75 thunderstorm wind reports, 17 flash floods and 1 flood. None is recorded as killing or injuring anyone; the NWS estimated $3.7 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 81 mph, on August 29, 2003. October has had the most flash floods, 7 of 17. Of the 798 New York cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 271 have had fewer than Cincinnatus.
April 3, 2005: flash flood 8 miles from the centre of Cincinnatus — $3.0 million damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Cincinnatus's ZIP code 13040 have filed 13 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1979, and were paid $563,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. 62% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 549 New York cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 48 have fewer than Cincinnatus.
Cortland County, which includes Cincinnatus, has been named in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1975, 13 of them major disasters (by incident: 5 severe storms, 4 floods, 3 hurricanes, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Storm, Tornadoes, and Flooding, on August 29, 2024. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Cortland County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Low for hurricanes, tornadoes, inland flooding, strong wind and lightning; Very Low for hail and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $17.1 million a year, the 52nd highest of 62 New York counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $14.5 million (85%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Cincinnatus
- Mc Graw, NY8 mi
- Marathon, NY10 mi
- Cortland, NY13 mi
- Homer, NY15 mi
- Whitney Point, NY16 mi
- Lisle, NY16 mi
- Greene, NY18 mi
- Oxford, NY18 mi
- Dryden, NY18 mi
- Tully, NY19 mi
- Norwich, NY21 mi
- Chenango Forks, NY21 mi
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