NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Eldred, PA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
12 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Eldred, Pennsylvania since 1851, 1 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Frances in 2004. Since 1950, 22 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 1
- Tropical storms
- 11
- Tornadoes
- 22
- EF3 or stronger
- 3
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
no recorded deaths
What the records show for Eldred
The strongest storm to pass near Eldred was Hazel in 1954, a Category 1 hurricane with 77 mph winds when its centre passed 28 miles away. The record near Eldred begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Frances in 2004, a tropical storm 68 miles away. Of the 12 systems, one has come since 2000. Of the 794 Pennsylvania cities on this site, 45% have more hurricanes within 75 miles than Eldred. The highest rating among the 22 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3, reached 3 times; the most recent, on July 21, 2003, came within 24 miles. Of the 22, none had a path within 5 miles of the city centre, and 10 have come since 2000. July has had the most tornadoes, 9. The most recent tornado was on June 9, 2025. Of the 794 Pennsylvania cities, 97% have more tornadoes within 25 miles than Eldred. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 22 times since 1974, with stones up to 1.75 inches (golf ball size). Of the 794 Pennsylvania cities, 82% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Eldred.
Compare Eldred's storm record with another city →
Tropical storms and hurricanes near Eldred
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | FrancesSep 9 | 68 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1995 | OpalOct 6 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1989 | HugoSep 23 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (41 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1955 | ConnieAug 13 | 36 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1954 | HazelOct 16 | 28 mi | Category 1 (77 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormSep 20 | 33 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 29 | 15 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 30 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 14 | 36 mi | Tropical storm (70 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1885 | Unnamed 1885 stormOct 14 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormSep 13 | 26 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 18 | 35 mi | Tropical storm (51 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Eldred: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Eldred
By decade
- 2020s2
- 2010s3
- 2000s5(1 EF3+)
- 1990s2
- 1980s2
- 1970s3
- 1960s4(2 EF3+)
- 1950s1
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2003 | F3 | 24 mi | 2.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 20, 1969 | F3 | 20 mi | 84.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 15, 1961 | F3 | 12 mi | 3 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F2 | 24 mi | 19 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 6, 1968 | F2 | 20 mi | 31.8 mi | 0 / 4 |
| Jun 14, 1962 | F2 | 23 mi | 0.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 12, 1954 | F2 | 22 mi | 0.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 9, 2025 | EF1 | 22 mi | 2.4 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 6, 2024 | EF1 | 17 mi | 5.98 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 24, 2010 | EF1 | 11 mi | 7.78 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 24, 2010 | EF1 | 22 mi | 1.17 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 9, 2009 | EF1 | 21 mi | 7.84 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 22, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Eldred
The Storm Prediction Center has 22 hail reports within 10 miles of Eldred since 1974, made on 19 separate days. Of these, 14 were 1 inch across or larger, and none reached 2 inches. The largest size, 1.75 inches (golf ball size), was reported on 6 days, most recently July 7, 2012. The most recent report is from July 7, 2021. June has the most reports, 7.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Eldred
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Olean, NY, 9 miles north of Eldred at 1,420 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 80°F and low of 57°F; January is the coolest, at 32°F and 13°F. June is the wettest at 4.5 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.0 inches; the year adds up to 40.8 inches over 93 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 57% of the year's precipitation (23.2 of 40.8 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 12 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (6); a normal September there has highs of 73°F and 3.9 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 2 days a year, almost all from July. Lows fall below freezing on about 150 nights a year. Snowfall averages 64.7 inches a year, most of it in January. That 40.8 inches is more than at 20 of the 148 Pennsylvania stations used on this site (14%). Smethport, 11 miles south, has its own station (Clermont 1 NW, PA): 50.8 inches a year, 10.0 more than here, and a July average high of 76°F against 80°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 32 | 13 | 2.7 | 7 | 17.6 |
| Feb | 34 | 15 | 2.0 | 6 | 13.7 |
| Mar | 43 | 21 | 2.6 | 7 | 10.1 |
| Apr | 57 | 32 | 3.4 | 8 | 1.8 |
| May | 68 | 44 | 3.7 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Jun | 76 | 53 | 4.5 | 9 | 0.0 |
| Jul | 80 | 57 | 4.3 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Aug | 79 | 55 | 4.0 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Sep | 73 | 49 | 3.9 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Oct | 60 | 38 | 3.6 | 8 | 0.3 |
| Nov | 47 | 29 | 2.9 | 7 | 6.3 |
| Dec | 37 | 21 | 3.2 | 8 | 14.9 |
| Year | 57 | 36 | 40.8 | 93 | 64.7 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Olean, NY (1,420 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Eldred
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 126 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Eldred: 101 thunderstorm wind reports, 15 flash floods, 7 floods and 3 heavy rain events. None is recorded as killing or injuring anyone; the NWS estimated $1.1 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 70 mph, on May 25, 2011. Of the 788 Pennsylvania cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 267 have had fewer than Eldred.
March 15, 2007: flood 9 miles from the centre of Eldred — $100,000 damage.
December 1, 2010: flood 8 miles from the centre of Eldred — $100,000 damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Eldred's ZIP code 16731 have filed 17 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1981, and were paid $58,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. 53% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 553 Pennsylvania cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 90 have fewer than Eldred.
McKean County, which includes Eldred, has been named in 13 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 9 of them major disasters (by incident: 3 floods, 3 hurricanes, 3 severe storms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on March 30, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives McKean County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for inland flooding and lightning; Relatively Low for hurricanes and strong wind; Very Low for tornadoes, hail and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $15.0 million a year, the 54th highest of 67 Pennsylvania counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $12.8 million (85%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.