NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Elkton, VA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
18 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Elkton, Virginia since 1851, 2 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Zeta in 2020. Since 1950, 42 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 4 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 2
- Tropical storms
- 16
- Tornadoes
- 42
- EF3 or stronger
- 4
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
12 deaths in all
What the records show for Elkton
The strongest storm to pass near Elkton was Hazel in 1954, a Category 1 hurricane with 86 mph winds when its centre passed 51 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was an unnamed storm in 1893, whose centre came within 26 miles. The record near Elkton begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Zeta in 2020, a tropical storm 48 miles away. The 1890s and the 1950s were the busiest decades, with 3 systems each. Of the 18 systems, 2 have come since 2000. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site, 67% have more hurricanes within 75 miles than Elkton. The highest rating among the 42 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3, reached 4 times; the most recent, on July 25, 1985, came within 18 miles. The deadliest, an F3 on September 30, 1959, killed 11 people. Of the 42, 3 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 21 have come since 2000. April and August have had the most tornadoes, 8 each. The most recent tornado was on May 30, 2025. Elkton has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 52% of the 364 Virginia cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 35 times since 1967, with stones up to 1.75 inches (golf ball size). Of the 364 Virginia cities, 63% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Elkton.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Elkton
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | ZetaOct 29 | 48 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 3 |
| 2003 | IsabelSep 19 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1979 | DavidSep 6 | 18 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1955 | DianeAug 18 | 12 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1954 | HazelOct 15 | 51 mi | Category 1 (86 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1952 | AbleSep 1 | 15 mi | Tropical storm (53 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1949 | Unnamed 1949 stormAug 29 | 9 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1945 | Unnamed 1945 stormSep 18 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1934 | Unnamed 1934 stormJun 19 | 26 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormSep 20 | 53 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 4 | 26 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormOct 12 | 65 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 30 | 4 mi | Tropical storm (72 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 13 | 26 mi | Category 1 (76 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 29 | 19 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1885 | Unnamed 1885 stormOct 13 | 26 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormSep 13 | 47 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 18 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Elkton: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Elkton
By decade
- 2020s3
- 2010s5
- 2000s13
- 1990s7
- 1980s1(1 EF3+)
- 1970s5(1 EF3+)
- 1960s3
- 1950s5(2 EF3+)
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 1959 | F3 | 25 mi | 0.8 mi | 11 / 4 |
| Sep 30, 1959 | F3 | 13 mi | 2 mi | 1 / 9 |
| Jul 25, 1985 | F3 | 18 mi | 0.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Mar 21, 1976 | F3 | 16 mi | 5.6 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF2 | 25 mi | 33.51 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 11 mi | 8 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 14 mi | 5 mi | 0 / 3 |
| Apr 28, 2002 | F2 | 19 mi | 4 mi | 0 / 2 |
| Jun 12, 1976 | F2 | 20 mi | 0.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 6, 1960 | F2 | 5 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 5, 1952 | F2 | 3 mi | 4.9 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 5, 1952 | F2 | 17 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 2 |
The strongest 12 of 42, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Elkton
The Storm Prediction Center has 35 hail reports within 10 miles of Elkton since 1967, made on 22 separate days. Of these, 26 were 1 inch across or larger, and none reached 2 inches. The largest size, 1.75 inches (golf ball size), was reported on 2 days, most recently September 28, 2021. The most recent report is from May 15, 2025. June has the most reports, 9.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Elkton
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Dale Enterprise, VA, 17 miles west of Elkton at 1,358 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 86°F and low of 64°F; January is the coolest, at 42°F and 23°F. July is the wettest at 4.1 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.2 inches; the year adds up to 38.9 inches over 77 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 53% of the year's precipitation (20.6 of 38.9 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 18 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (8); a normal September there has highs of 78°F and 3.7 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 21 days a year, almost all from June to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 123 nights a year. Snowfall averages 19.4 inches a year, most of it in February. That 38.9 inches is more than at 1 of the 109 Virginia stations used on this site (1%). Stanardsville, 11 miles southeast, has its own station (Somerset, VA): 45.1 inches a year, 6.2 more than here, and a July average high of 87°F against 86°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 42 | 23 | 2.7 | 6 | 4.2 |
| Feb | 46 | 24 | 2.2 | 5 | 6.2 |
| Mar | 54 | 30 | 3.2 | 7 | 4.5 |
| Apr | 65 | 40 | 3.3 | 7 | 0.1 |
| May | 74 | 50 | 4.0 | 9 | 0.0 |
| Jun | 82 | 60 | 3.9 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Jul | 86 | 64 | 4.1 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Aug | 84 | 62 | 3.8 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Sep | 78 | 55 | 3.7 | 5 | 0.0 |
| Oct | 67 | 43 | 2.5 | 5 | 0.2 |
| Nov | 56 | 33 | 2.6 | 5 | 0.6 |
| Dec | 46 | 26 | 2.9 | 6 | 3.6 |
| Year | 65 | 42 | 38.9 | 77 | 19.4 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Dale Enterprise, VA (1,358 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Elkton
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 149 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Elkton: 98 thunderstorm wind reports, 32 floods and 19 flash floods. None is recorded as killing or injuring anyone; the NWS estimated $4.4 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 81 mph, on May 30, 2019. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 172 have had fewer than Elkton.
May 31, 2018: flash flood 6 miles from the centre of Elkton — $4.1 million damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Elkton's ZIP code 22827 have filed 51 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1985, and were paid $422,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The most came from Hurricane Fran in 1996: 18 claims (35% of all) and $222,000, then Hurricane Isabel in 2003 with 15. 78% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 183 Virginia cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 97 have fewer than Elkton.
| Event | Claims | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Fran1996 | 18 | $222,000 |
| Hurricane Isabel2003 | 15 | $42,000 |
Rockingham County, which includes Elkton, has been named in 21 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 12 of them major disasters (by incident: 5 floods, 5 hurricanes, 3 severe storms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Winter Storms and Flooding, on April 4, 2025. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Rockingham County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for hurricanes, inland flooding, strong wind and lightning; Relatively Low for tornadoes, hail and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $34.9 million a year, the 13th highest of 133 Virginia counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $25.7 million (74%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Elkton
- Mcgaheysville, VA6 mi
- Shenandoah, VA6 mi
- Stanardsville, VA11 mi
- Stanley, VA13 mi
- Harrisonburg, VA14 mi
- Grottoes, VA15 mi
- Mount Crawford, VA15 mi
- Ruckersville, VA17 mi
- New Market, VA17 mi
- Broadway, VA18 mi
- Weyers Cave, VA18 mi
- Timberville, VA18 mi
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