NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Horseshoe Bay, TX
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
8 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Horseshoe Bay, Texas since 1851, 0 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Delia in 1973. Since 1950, 56 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 4 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 0
- Tropical storms
- 8
- Tornadoes
- 56
- EF3 or stronger
- 4
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
1 deaths in all
What the records show for Horseshoe Bay
None of the 8 tropical systems was at hurricane strength as it passed Horseshoe Bay; the strongest was an unnamed storm in 1942, a tropical storm with 68 mph winds when its centre passed 73 miles away. The record near Horseshoe Bay begins with an unnamed storm in 1886; the most recent system was Delia in 1973, a tropical storm 17 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1960s, with 2 systems. None of the 8 systems has come since 2000. Of the 753 Texas cities on this site, 54% have more tropical storms and hurricanes within 75 miles than Horseshoe Bay. The strongest of the 56 tornadoes within 25 miles was an F4 on May 27, 1997; its path came within 24 miles, and it killed 1 person. Of the 56, 3 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 21 have come since 2000. May has had the most tornadoes, 17. The most recent tornado was on April 12, 2020. Of the 753 Texas cities, 85% have more tornadoes within 25 miles than Horseshoe Bay. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 99 times since 1967, with stones up to 2.75 inches (baseball size). Horseshoe Bay has more hail reports within 10 miles than 61% of the 753 Texas cities.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Horseshoe Bay
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1973 | DeliaSep 6 | 17 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1968 | CandyJun 24 | 42 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1961 | CarlaSep 12 | 46 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1942 | Unnamed 1942 stormAug 30 | 73 mi | Tropical storm (68 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1932 | Unnamed 1932 stormAug 14 | 58 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 27 | 61 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1897 | Unnamed 1897 stormSep 13 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1886 | Unnamed 1886 stormAug 21 | 51 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 4 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Horseshoe Bay: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Horseshoe Bay
By decade
- 2020s2
- 2010s4
- 2000s15
- 1990s11(2 EF3+)
- 1980s4
- 1970s10(1 EF3+)
- 1960s9(1 EF3+)
- 1950s1
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 1997 | F4 | 24 mi | 5.6 mi | 1 / 5 |
| May 13, 1994 | F3 | 6 mi | 3.5 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Mar 10, 1973 | F3 | 15 mi | 7.8 mi | 0 / 40 |
| May 6, 1969 | F3 | 1 mi | 38.9 mi | 0 / 2 |
| May 7, 1975 | F2 | 13 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 15, 1970 | F2 | 24 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 12, 2020 | EF1 | 6 mi | 6.96 mi | 0 / 2 |
| Apr 12, 2020 | EF1 | 20 mi | 11.56 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 23, 2015 | EF1 | 23 mi | 1.29 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 20, 2006 | F1 | 19 mi | 0.7 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 20, 2006 | F1 | 22 mi | 0.3 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Nov 16, 2004 | F1 | 3 mi | 12 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 56, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Horseshoe Bay
The Storm Prediction Center has 99 hail reports within 10 miles of Horseshoe Bay since 1967, made on 51 separate days. Of these, 84 were 1 inch across or larger, and 13 reached 2 inches. The largest size, 2.75 inches (baseball size), was reported on 3 days, most recently April 9, 2024. The most recent report is from May 28, 2025. April has the most reports, 37.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Horseshoe Bay
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Burnet Municipal Airport, TX, 16 miles northeast of Horseshoe Bay at 1,288 feet. August is the warmest, with an average high of 96°F and low of 73°F; January is the coolest, at 61°F and 38°F. May is the wettest at 3.7 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 1.6 inches; the year adds up to 28.6 inches over 42 days with at least a tenth of an inch. Highs reach 90°F on about 103 days a year, almost all from April to October. Lows fall below freezing on about 26 nights a year. That 28.6 inches is more than at 101 of the 312 Texas stations used on this site (32%). Kingsland, 10 miles northwest, has its own station (Llano, TX): 27.6 inches a year, 1.0 less than here, and an August average high of 97°F against 96°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 61 | 38 | 1.7 | 3 |
| Feb | 64 | 42 | 1.6 | 3 |
| Mar | 72 | 49 | 2.7 | 4 |
| Apr | 79 | 56 | 2.1 | 3 |
| May | 85 | 64 | 3.7 | 5 |
| Jun | 92 | 71 | 2.9 | 4 |
| Jul | 95 | 73 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Aug | 96 | 73 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Sep | 89 | 68 | 2.9 | 4 |
| Oct | 80 | 58 | 3.2 | 4 |
| Nov | 69 | 47 | 2.3 | 3 |
| Dec | 61 | 40 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Year | 78 | 57 | 28.6 | 42 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Burnet Municipal Airport, TX (1,288 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Horseshoe Bay
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 87 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Horseshoe Bay: 46 thunderstorm wind reports, 38 flash floods and 3 floods. They killed 3 people and injured 0, and the NWS estimated $188.7 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 81 mph, on November 21, 2004. June has had the most flash floods, 9 of 38. Of the 745 Texas cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 615 have had fewer than Horseshoe Bay.
June 26, 2007: flash flood 6 miles from the centre of Horseshoe Bay — 2 killed, $137.0 million damage.
July 5, 2025: flash flood 6 miles from the centre of Horseshoe Bay — 1 killed.
October 16, 2018: flood 6 miles from the centre of Horseshoe Bay — $30.0 million damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Horseshoe Bay's ZIP code 78657 have filed 209 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1981, and were paid $5.5 million for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The most came from Fall 2018 Texas Flooding in 2018: 125 claims (60% of all) and $4.6 million. 68% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 433 Texas cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 295 have fewer than Horseshoe Bay.
| Event | Claims | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Fall 2018 Texas Flooding2018 | 125 | $4.6 million |
Llano County, which includes Horseshoe Bay, has been named in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1991, 10 of them major disasters (by incident: 4 floods, 3 fires, 3 hurricanes, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding, on July 6, 2025. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Llano County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for tornadoes, hail, inland flooding and lightning; Relatively Low for strong wind and heat waves; Very Low for hurricanes. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $18.6 million a year, the 96th highest of 254 Texas counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $14.0 million (76%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Horseshoe Bay
- Marble Falls, TX4 mi
- Kingsland, TX10 mi
- Burnet, TX16 mi
- Johnson City, TX18 mi
- Spicewood, TX19 mi
- Llano, TX22 mi
- Lago Vista, TX24 mi
- Bertram, TX25 mi
- Dripping Springs, TX26 mi
- Lakeway, TX27 mi
- Round Rock, TX28 mi
- Liberty Hill, TX28 mi
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