NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Jay, ME
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
31 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Jay, Maine since 1851, 3 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Irene in 2011. Since 1950, 22 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 0 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 3
- Tropical storms
- 28
- Tornadoes
- 22
- EF3 or stronger
- 0
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
no recorded deaths
What the records show for Jay
The strongest storm to pass near Jay was an unnamed storm in 1869, a Category 1 hurricane with 89 mph winds when its centre passed 24 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was an unnamed storm in 1869, whose centre came within 1 mile. The record near Jay begins with an unnamed storm in 1858; the most recent system was Irene in 2011, a tropical storm 58 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1890s, with 6 systems. Of the 31 systems, one has come since 2000. Of the 160 Maine cities on this site, 38% have more hurricanes within 75 miles than Jay. The highest rating among the 22 tornadoes within 25 miles is F2, reached 4 times; the most recent, on July 8, 1996, came within 20 miles. Of the 22, one had a path within 5 miles of the city centre, and 6 have come since 2000. July has had the most tornadoes, 9. The most recent tornado was on June 1, 2011. Jay has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 80% of the 160 Maine cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 26 times since 1975, with stones up to 2.5 inches (tennis ball size). Of the 160 Maine cities, 56% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Jay.
Compare Jay's storm record with another city →
Tropical storms and hurricanes near Jay
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | IreneAug 29 | 58 mi | Tropical storm (49 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1999 | FloydSep 17 | 56 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1996 | BerthaJul 14 | 62 mi | Tropical storm (64 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1991 | BobAug 20 | 57 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1985 | GloriaSep 27 | 24 mi | Tropical storm (64 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1979 | DavidSep 6 | 22 mi | Tropical storm (51 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1971 | HeidiSep 14 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1971 | DoriaAug 28 | 40 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1961 | EstherSep 26 | 26 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1961 | Unnamed 1961 stormSep 15 | 29 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1960 | DonnaSep 13 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1960 | BrendaJul 31 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1954 | CarolAug 31 | 47 mi | Category 1 (76 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1949 | Unnamed 1949 stormAug 29 | 43 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1934 | Unnamed 1934 stormSep 9 | 10 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1916 | Unnamed 1916 stormJul 21 | 60 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1916 | Unnamed 1916 stormMay 17 | 19 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1908 | Unnamed 1908 stormMay 31 | 20 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 17 | 59 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1899 | Unnamed 1899 stormNov 1 | 4 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1897 | Unnamed 1897 stormSep 24 | 49 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 11 | 21 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1894 | Unnamed 1894 stormOct 10 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (53 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 30 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 24 | 64 mi | Tropical storm (64 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1874 | Unnamed 1874 stormSep 30 | 18 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1869 | Unnamed 1869 stormOct 5 | 24 mi | Category 1 (89 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1869 | Unnamed 1869 stormSep 9 | 1 mi | Category 1 (78 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1861 | Unnamed 1861 stormNov 3 | 37 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1861 | Unnamed 1861 stormSep 28 | 59 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1858 | Unnamed 1858 stormSep 16 | 12 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Category 2 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Jay: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Jay
By decade
- 2010s2
- 2000s4
- 1990s3
- 1980s3
- 1970s5
- 1960s3
- 1950s2
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 1996 | F2 | 20 mi | 1.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 31, 1971 | F2 | 14 mi | 2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 31, 1971 | F2 | 10 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 31, 1971 | F2 | 2 mi | 1.9 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Jun 1, 2011 | EF1 | 24 mi | 0.26 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 5, 2010 | EF1 | 25 mi | 4.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 21, 2009 | EF1 | 12 mi | 16.42 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 31, 2002 | F1 | 22 mi | 2.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 18, 2000 | F1 | 23 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Oct 1, 1998 | F1 | 22 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 21, 1997 | F1 | 19 mi | 0.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 18, 1989 | F1 | 17 mi | 1.3 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 22, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Jay
The Storm Prediction Center has 26 hail reports within 10 miles of Jay since 1975, made on 18 separate days. Of these, 21 were 1 inch across or larger, and 2 reached 2 inches. The largest, 2.5 inches (tennis ball size), fell on July 11, 1980. The most recent report is from May 23, 2024. August has the most reports, 11.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Jay
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Livermore Falls 1 E, ME, 4 miles southeast of Jay at 380 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 80°F and low of 57°F; January is the coolest, at 28°F and 6°F. October is the wettest at 5.2 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 3.1 inches; the year adds up to 47.3 inches over 89 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 53% of the year's precipitation (25.2 of 47.3 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 31 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (14); a normal September there has highs of 71°F and 3.5 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 5 days a year, almost all from June to July. Lows fall below freezing on about 180 nights a year. Snowfall averages 91.2 inches a year, most of it in February. That 47.3 inches is more than at 19 of the 47 Maine stations used on this site (40%). Wilton, 6 miles north, has its own station (Farmington, ME): 49.5 inches a year, 2.2 more than here, and a July average high of 79°F against 80°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 28 | 6 | 3.4 | 6 | 19.8 |
| Feb | 31 | 6 | 3.1 | 6 | 26.6 |
| Mar | 39 | 17 | 3.7 | 6 | 15.9 |
| Apr | 53 | 30 | 4.1 | 8 | 3.2 |
| May | 66 | 41 | 3.4 | 8 | 0.3 |
| Jun | 74 | 50 | 4.5 | 9 | 0.0 |
| Jul | 80 | 57 | 3.9 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Aug | 79 | 54 | 3.8 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Sep | 71 | 45 | 3.5 | 6 | 0.0 |
| Oct | 58 | 35 | 5.2 | 8 | 0.4 |
| Nov | 45 | 24 | 4.3 | 7 | 4.7 |
| Dec | 34 | 15 | 4.4 | 9 | 20.3 |
| Year | 55 | 32 | 47.3 | 89 | 91.2 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Livermore Falls 1 E, ME (380 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Jay
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 75 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Jay: 58 thunderstorm wind reports, 9 flash floods, 7 floods and 1 lightning strike. They killed 0 people and injured 1, and the NWS estimated $8.9 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 81 mph, on May 31, 2002. July has had the most flash floods, 4 of 9. Of the 154 Maine cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 114 have had fewer than Jay.
August 16, 2007: lightning strike 10 miles from the centre of Jay — 1 injured.
June 29, 2023: flash flood 7 miles from the centre of Jay — $6.5 million damage.
May 1, 2023: flood 7 miles from the centre of Jay — $1.4 million damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Franklin County, which includes Jay, has been named in 33 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1970, 24 of them major disasters (by incident: 12 severe storms, 8 floods, 6 snowstorms, 4 hurricanes). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Storm and Flooding, on January 30, 2024. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Franklin County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for lightning; Relatively Low for hurricanes, inland flooding and strong wind; Very Low for tornadoes, hail and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $13.5 million a year, the 11th highest of 16 Maine counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $7.0 million (52%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Jay
- Livermore Falls, ME4 mi
- Wilton, ME6 mi
- Dixfield, ME10 mi
- Farmington, ME11 mi
- Mexico, ME16 mi
- Readfield, ME16 mi
- Leeds, ME17 mi
- Buckfield, ME17 mi
- Rumford, ME17 mi
- Turner, ME17 mi
- Winthrop, ME19 mi
- Belgrade, ME19 mi
All Maine cities →All hurricanes since 1851 →Compare Jay with another place →