NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Manchaca, TX
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
13 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Manchaca, Texas since 1851, 2 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Harvey in 2017. Since 1950, 107 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 2
- Tropical storms
- 11
- Tornadoes
- 107
- EF3 or stronger
- 3
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
2 deaths in all
What the records show for Manchaca
The strongest storm to pass near Manchaca was an unnamed storm in 1886, a Category 1 hurricane with 82 mph winds when its centre passed 58 miles away. The record near Manchaca begins with an unnamed storm in 1875; the most recent system was Harvey in 2017, a tropical storm 59 miles away. Of the 13 systems, 2 have come since 2000. Manchaca has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 62% of the 753 Texas cities on this site. The strongest of the 107 tornadoes within 25 miles was an F4 on May 27, 1997; its path came within 16 miles, and it killed 1 person. Of the 107, 5 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 39 have come since 2000. May has had the most tornadoes, 23. The most recent tornado was on June 12, 2025. Manchaca has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 51% of the 753 Texas cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 94 times since 1957, with stones up to 2 inches (hen egg size). Manchaca has more hail reports within 10 miles than 58% of the 753 Texas cities.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Manchaca
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | HarveyAug 27 | 59 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 4 |
| 2010 | HermineSep 7 | 60 mi | Tropical storm (41 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1973 | DeliaSep 6 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (41 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1968 | CandyJun 24 | 14 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1961 | CarlaSep 12 | 22 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1942 | Unnamed 1942 stormAug 30 | 65 mi | Category 1 (79 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1932 | Unnamed 1932 stormAug 14 | 51 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1929 | Unnamed 1929 stormJun 29 | 66 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 27 | 27 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1897 | Unnamed 1897 stormSep 13 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1886 | Unnamed 1886 stormSep 24 | 72 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1886 | Unnamed 1886 stormAug 20 | 58 mi | Category 1 (82 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1875 | Unnamed 1875 stormSep 17 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Manchaca: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Manchaca
By decade
- 2020s6
- 2010s11
- 2000s22
- 1990s12(2 EF3+)
- 1980s12
- 1970s21
- 1960s14
- 1950s9(1 EF3+)
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 1997 | F4 | 16 mi | 5.6 mi | 1 / 5 |
| May 27, 1997 | F3 | 21 mi | 9.2 mi | 0 / 15 |
| May 10, 1959 | F3 | 13 mi | 11 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 4, 1970 | F2 | 21 mi | 1.5 mi | 1 / 4 |
| Mar 21, 2022 | EF2 | 24 mi | 11.97 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Mar 21, 2022 | EF2 | 25 mi | 34.62 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 22, 1985 | F2 | 7 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 10, 1980 | F2 | 15 mi | 47.7 mi | 0 / 20 |
| Aug 10, 1980 | F2 | 14 mi | 5.4 mi | 0 / 4 |
| Aug 10, 1980 | F2 | 23 mi | 18.8 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 14, 1977 | F2 | 14 mi | 41 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Mar 30, 1976 | F2 | 8 mi | 2.5 mi | 0 / 1 |
The strongest 12 of 107, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Manchaca
The Storm Prediction Center has 94 hail reports within 10 miles of Manchaca since 1957, made on 58 separate days. Of these, 65 were 1 inch across or larger, and one reached 2 inches. The largest, 2 inches (hen egg size), fell on May 27, 2014. The most recent report is from May 22, 2025. May has the most reports, 47.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Manchaca
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Austin Bergstrom Airport, TX, 11 miles east of Manchaca at 480 feet. August is the warmest, with an average high of 97°F and low of 73°F; January is the coolest, at 63°F and 38°F. May is the wettest at 5.0 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 1.9 inches; the year adds up to 35.7 inches over 47 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 51% of the year's precipitation (18.1 of 35.7 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 13 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (6); a normal September there has highs of 91°F and 3.0 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 124 days a year, almost all from April to October. Lows fall below freezing on about 33 nights a year. That 35.7 inches is more than at 162 of the 312 Texas stations used on this site (52%). Kyle, 9 miles south, has its own station (San Marcos, TX): 36.5 inches a year, 0.8 more than here, and the same August average high, 97°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 63 | 38 | 2.8 | 4 |
| Feb | 66 | 42 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Mar | 73 | 49 | 2.9 | 4 |
| Apr | 80 | 56 | 2.4 | 4 |
| May | 87 | 65 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Jun | 93 | 72 | 3.4 | 4 |
| Jul | 96 | 73 | 2.2 | 4 |
| Aug | 97 | 73 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Sep | 91 | 67 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Oct | 83 | 57 | 4.3 | 4 |
| Nov | 72 | 47 | 2.7 | 4 |
| Dec | 64 | 40 | 2.6 | 4 |
| Year | 80 | 57 | 35.7 | 47 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Austin Bergstrom Airport, TX (480 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Manchaca
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 131 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Manchaca: 74 flash floods, 45 thunderstorm wind reports, 9 lightning strikes, 2 floods and 1 heavy rain event. They killed 7 people and injured 0, and the NWS estimated $211.1 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 81 mph, on May 29, 2005. May has had the most flash floods, 24 of 74. Of the 745 Texas cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 717 have had fewer than Manchaca.
October 31, 2013: flash flood 5 miles from the centre of Manchaca — 4 killed, $100.0 million damage.
NWS: “Heavy rains in excess of 14 inches upstream of Austin in the Onion Creek Watershed near Wimberley caused a flash flood that hit portions of South Austin in the early morning hours.”
October 30, 2015: flash flood 10 miles from the centre of Manchaca — 2 killed.
October 30, 2015: flash flood 7 miles from the centre of Manchaca — 1 killed.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Manchaca's ZIP code 78652 have filed 70 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1981, and were paid $5.1 million for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The most came from Fall severe storms in 2015: 18 claims (26% of all) and $1.8 million. The year with the most claims was 2013, with 25. 39% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 433 Texas cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 201 have fewer than Manchaca.
| Event | Claims | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Fall severe storms2015 | 18 | $1.8 million |
Travis County, which includes Manchaca, has been named in 37 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1991, 19 of them major disasters (by incident: 11 fires, 8 hurricanes, 7 floods, 5 severe storms). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding, on July 6, 2025. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Travis County a Relatively High rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Very High for tornadoes and hail; Relatively High for inland flooding, strong wind, lightning and heat waves; Relatively Low for hurricanes. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $376.3 million a year, the 6th highest of 254 Texas counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $214.2 million (57%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Manchaca
- Buda, TX4 mi
- Kyle, TX9 mi
- Driftwood, TX12 mi
- Austin, TX13 mi
- Del Valle, TX13 mi
- Maxwell, TX17 mi
- Dripping Springs, TX18 mi
- Lakeway, TX18 mi
- San Marcos, TX18 mi
- Wimberley, TX19 mi
- Martindale, TX20 mi
- Round Rock, TX20 mi
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