NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Middletown, VA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
19 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Middletown, Virginia since 1851, 3 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Isabel in 2003. Since 1950, 40 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 0 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 3
- Tropical storms
- 16
- Tornadoes
- 40
- EF3 or stronger
- 0
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
no recorded deaths
What the records show for Middletown
The strongest storm to pass near Middletown was an unnamed storm in 1878, a Category 1 hurricane with 92 mph winds when its centre passed 58 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was an unnamed storm in 1893, whose centre came within 12 miles. The record near Middletown begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Isabel in 2003, a tropical storm 43 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1890s, with 4 systems, one of them at hurricane strength. Of the 19 systems, one has come since 2000. Middletown has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 33% of the 364 Virginia cities on this site. The highest rating among the 40 tornadoes within 25 miles is F2 or EF2, reached 4 times; the most recent, on April 28, 2011, came within 12 miles. Of the 40, 5 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 20 have come since 2000. June has had the most tornadoes, 10. The most recent tornado was on May 30, 2025. Middletown has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 51% of the 364 Virginia cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 69 times since 1975, with stones up to 2.75 inches (baseball size). Middletown has more hail reports within 10 miles than 68% of the 364 Virginia cities.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Middletown
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | IsabelSep 19 | 43 mi | Tropical storm (56 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1979 | DavidSep 6 | 16 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1955 | DianeAug 18 | 18 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1954 | HazelOct 15 | 41 mi | Category 1 (84 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1952 | AbleSep 1 | 28 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1949 | Unnamed 1949 stormAug 29 | 18 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1934 | Unnamed 1934 stormJun 19 | 8 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1933 | Unnamed 1933 stormAug 24 | 60 mi | Tropical storm (62 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormSep 20 | 25 mi | Tropical storm (51 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 4 | 38 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 30 | 16 mi | Tropical storm (70 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 23 | 59 mi | Tropical storm (41 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 14 | 12 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 29 | 33 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormAug 21 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1885 | Unnamed 1885 stormOct 13 | 15 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormOct 23 | 58 mi | Category 1 (92 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormSep 13 | 59 mi | Tropical storm (56 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 18 | 38 mi | Tropical storm (64 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Middletown: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Middletown
By decade
- 2020s3
- 2010s3
- 2000s14
- 1990s13
- 1980s1
- 1970s3
- 1960s2
- 1950s1
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF2 | 12 mi | 33.51 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 12 mi | 5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 4, 1975 | F2 | 20 mi | 0.8 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 13, 1961 | F2 | 21 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | EF1 | 21 mi | 4.76 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF1 | 13 mi | 0.54 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F1 | 24 mi | 5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | in town | 9 mi | 0 / 2 |
| May 27, 2001 | F1 | 7 mi | 5.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 30, 1998 | F1 | 24 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 16, 1998 | F1 | 18 mi | 3.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 18, 1997 | F1 | 8 mi | 0.4 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 40, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Middletown
The Storm Prediction Center has 69 hail reports within 10 miles of Middletown since 1975, made on 42 separate days. Of these, 50 were 1 inch across or larger, and 3 reached 2 inches. The largest size, 2.75 inches (baseball size), was reported on 2 days, most recently April 23, 1999. The most recent report is from May 23, 2024. May has the most reports, 20.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Middletown
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Star Tannery, VA, 10 miles northwest of Middletown at 950 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 85°F and low of 62°F; January is the coolest, at 41°F and 21°F. June is the wettest at 4.4 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.3 inches; the year adds up to 40.0 inches over 73 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 52% of the year's precipitation (20.9 of 40.0 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 19 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (7); a normal September there has highs of 77°F and 3.9 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 20 days a year, almost all from June to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 126 nights a year. Snowfall averages 25.1 inches a year, most of it in February. That 40.0 inches is more than at 5 of the 109 Virginia stations used on this site (5%). Stephens City, 5 miles northeast, has its own station (Winchester, VA): 40.7 inches a year, 0.7 more than here, and a July average high of 86°F against 85°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 41 | 21 | 2.7 | 5 | 7.9 |
| Feb | 44 | 23 | 2.3 | 4 | 9.6 |
| Mar | 52 | 30 | 3.6 | 7 | 2.7 |
| Apr | 65 | 39 | 3.6 | 7 | 0.1 |
| May | 72 | 49 | 4.0 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Jun | 80 | 58 | 4.4 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Jul | 85 | 62 | 3.2 | 6 | 0.0 |
| Aug | 84 | 60 | 3.3 | 6 | 0.0 |
| Sep | 77 | 53 | 3.9 | 6 | 0.0 |
| Oct | 65 | 41 | 3.2 | 5 | 0.0 |
| Nov | 54 | 32 | 2.9 | 5 | 0.6 |
| Dec | 45 | 25 | 2.9 | 5 | 4.2 |
| Year | 64 | 41 | 40.0 | 73 | 25.1 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Star Tannery, VA (950 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Middletown
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 341 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Middletown: 239 thunderstorm wind reports, 83 floods, 17 flash floods and 2 lightning strikes. They killed 0 people and injured 3, and the NWS estimated $1.2 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 75 mph, on June 17, 2004. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 153 have had fewer than Middletown.
June 4, 2008: thunderstorm wind 5 miles from the centre of Middletown — 2 injured, $22,000 damage.
June 15, 2000: thunderstorm wind 8 miles from the centre of Middletown — 1 injured, $40,000 damage.
July 25, 2023: thunderstorm wind 3 miles from the centre of Middletown — $250,000 damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Frederick County, which includes Middletown, has been named in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 12 of them major disasters (by incident: 6 hurricanes, 4 snowstorms, 3 severe storms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on April 2, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Frederick County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for strong wind; Relatively Low for hurricanes, tornadoes, hail, inland flooding, lightning and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $20.0 million a year, the 26th highest of 133 Virginia counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $12.7 million (64%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Middletown
- Strasburg, VA5 mi
- Stephens City, VA5 mi
- Front Royal, VA9 mi
- Maurertown, VA12 mi
- Winchester, VA12 mi
- Boyce, VA13 mi
- Linden, VA13 mi
- Woodstock, VA16 mi
- Gore, VA16 mi
- Stephenson, VA17 mi
- Berryville, VA19 mi
- Clear Brook, VA20 mi
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