NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Paige, TX
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
21 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Paige, Texas since 1851, 1 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Harvey in 2017. Since 1950, 79 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 7 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 1
- Tropical storms
- 20
- Tornadoes
- 79
- EF3 or stronger
- 7
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
1 deaths in all
What the records show for Paige
The strongest storm to pass near Paige was an unnamed storm in 1900, a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds when its centre passed 42 miles away. The record near Paige begins with an unnamed storm in 1854; the most recent system was Harvey in 2017, a tropical storm 69 miles away. The 1900s and the 1940s were the busiest decades, with 3 systems each. Of the 21 systems, one has come since 2000. Paige has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 56% of the 753 Texas cities on this site. The highest rating among the 79 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3, reached 7 times; the most recent, on April 7, 1980, came within 11 miles. Of the 79, 3 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 20 have come since 2000. May has had the most tornadoes, 17. The most recent tornado was on March 21, 2022. Of the 753 Texas cities, 70% have more tornadoes within 25 miles than Paige. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 23 times since 1985, with stones up to 4.5 inches (grapefruit size). Of the 753 Texas cities, 90% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Paige.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Paige
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | HarveyAug 27 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1989 | ChantalAug 2 | 73 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1983 | AliciaAug 18 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1973 | DeliaSep 6 | 12 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1968 | CandyJun 24 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1961 | CarlaSep 12 | 21 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1947 | Unnamed 1947 stormAug 25 | 68 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1945 | Unnamed 1945 stormAug 28 | 52 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1943 | Unnamed 1943 stormJul 28 | 45 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1932 | Unnamed 1932 stormAug 14 | 14 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1921 | Unnamed 1921 stormJun 23 | 64 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 17 | 34 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1909 | Unnamed 1909 stormJul 22 | 49 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 27 | 15 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1900 | Unnamed 1900 stormSep 9 | 42 mi | Category 1 (85 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1897 | Unnamed 1897 stormSep 13 | 48 mi | Tropical storm (51 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormJun 18 | 43 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1886 | Unnamed 1886 stormSep 24 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1875 | Unnamed 1875 stormSep 17 | 44 mi | Tropical storm (64 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1871 | Unnamed 1871 stormJun 4 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1854 | Unnamed 1854 stormSep 19 | 44 mi | Tropical storm (62 mph) | Category 2 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Paige: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Paige
By decade
- 2020s6
- 2010s7
- 2000s7
- 1990s19
- 1980s8(1 EF3+)
- 1970s12
- 1960s7
- 1950s13(6 EF3+)
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 1980 | F3 | 11 mi | 31.7 mi | 1 / 5 |
| Apr 24, 1957 | F3 | 15 mi | 14.7 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Mar 20, 1957 | F3 | 14 mi | 16.9 mi | 0 / 2 |
| Mar 20, 1957 | F3 | 18 mi | 7.2 mi | 0 / 2 |
| Apr 30, 1954 | F3 | 23 mi | 139.9 mi | 0 / 6 |
| Dec 2, 1953 | F3 | 22 mi | 3.3 mi | 0 / 4 |
| Apr 28, 1953 | F3 | 15 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 3 |
| Mar 21, 2022 | EF2 | 16 mi | 11.97 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 3, 2019 | EF2 | 22 mi | 2.44 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Nov 5, 1994 | F2 | 15 mi | 2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jan 14, 1991 | F2 | 13 mi | 5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Nov 15, 1987 | F2 | 10 mi | 1.5 mi | 0 / 8 |
The strongest 12 of 79, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Paige
The Storm Prediction Center has 23 hail reports within 10 miles of Paige since 1985, made on 15 separate days. Of these, 17 were 1 inch across or larger, and one reached 2 inches. The largest, 4.5 inches (grapefruit size), fell on March 25, 1993. The most recent report is from May 5, 2025. May has the most reports, 8.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Paige
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Smithville, TX, 14 miles south of Paige at 317 feet. August is the warmest, with an average high of 97°F and low of 73°F; January is the coolest, at 63°F and 39°F. May is the wettest at 4.5 inches of precipitation on average and July the driest at 1.9 inches; the year adds up to 37.2 inches over 49 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 50% of the year's precipitation (18.6 of 37.2 inches). Highs reach 90°F on about 124 days a year, almost all from April to October. Lows fall below freezing on about 34 nights a year. That 37.2 inches is more than at 183 of the 312 Texas stations used on this site (59%). Mc Dade, 9 miles northwest, has its own station (Elgin 1 N, TX): 36.3 inches a year, 0.9 less than here, and an August average high of 96°F against 97°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 63 | 39 | 2.7 | 4 |
| Feb | 67 | 42 | 2.2 | 4 |
| Mar | 73 | 49 | 2.8 | 4 |
| Apr | 80 | 56 | 3.6 | 3 |
| May | 86 | 65 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Jun | 93 | 71 | 3.2 | 5 |
| Jul | 95 | 73 | 1.9 | 4 |
| Aug | 97 | 73 | 2.8 | 3 |
| Sep | 91 | 68 | 3.7 | 5 |
| Oct | 83 | 57 | 4.0 | 4 |
| Nov | 72 | 47 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Dec | 64 | 40 | 2.8 | 4 |
| Year | 80 | 57 | 37.2 | 49 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Smithville, TX (317 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Paige
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 43 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Paige: 22 flash floods, 18 thunderstorm wind reports, 2 floods and 1 lightning strike. They killed 1 person and injured 0, and the NWS estimated $615,000 in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 70 mph, on May 23, 2015. May has had the most flash floods, 8 of 22. Of the 745 Texas cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 466 have had fewer than Paige.
March 20, 2012: flash flood 8 miles from the centre of Paige — 1 killed.
NWS: “Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding of FM 1624 at West Yegua Creek near Fedor where a vehicle was swept off the road by flood waters. The driver of the vehicle was found dead.”
August 26, 2017: flood 8 miles from the centre of Paige — $250,000 damage.
July 8, 2008: lightning strike 9 miles from the centre of Paige — $150,000 damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Bastrop County, which includes Paige, has been named in 31 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1991, 16 of them major disasters (by incident: 13 fires, 5 floods, 4 hurricanes, 3 severe storms). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Winter Storm, on April 21, 2023. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Bastrop County a Relatively Moderate rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively High for tornadoes; Relatively Moderate for hail, inland flooding, strong wind, lightning and heat waves; Relatively Low for hurricanes. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $42.5 million a year, the 43rd highest of 254 Texas counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $26.7 million (63%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Paige
- Mc Dade, TX9 mi
- Giddings, TX11 mi
- Bastrop, TX13 mi
- Smithville, TX14 mi
- Lexington, TX15 mi
- Elgin, TX17 mi
- Cedar Creek, TX23 mi
- La Grange, TX25 mi
- Red Rock, TX26 mi
- Manor, TX27 mi
- Thorndale, TX28 mi
- Burton, TX30 mi
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