NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Warren, PA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
11 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Warren, Pennsylvania since 1851, 1 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Isabel in 2003. Since 1950, 38 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 6 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 1
- Tropical storms
- 10
- Tornadoes
- 38
- EF3 or stronger
- 6
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
4 deaths in all
What the records show for Warren
The strongest storm to pass near Warren was Hazel in 1954, a Category 1 hurricane with 77 mph winds when its centre passed 67 miles away. The record near Warren begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Isabel in 2003, a tropical storm 68 miles away. Of the 11 systems, one has come since 2000. Of the 794 Pennsylvania cities on this site, 45% have more hurricanes within 75 miles than Warren. The highest rating among the 38 tornadoes within 25 miles is F4, reached 2 times; the most recent, on May 31, 1985, came within 20 miles. The deadliest, an F4 on May 31, 1985, killed 4 people. Of the 38, 2 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 14 have come since 2000. July has had the most tornadoes, 12. The most recent tornado was on April 14, 2019. Of the 794 Pennsylvania cities, 84% have more tornadoes within 25 miles than Warren. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 21 times since 1985, with stones up to 2.75 inches (baseball size). Of the 794 Pennsylvania cities, 84% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Warren.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Warren
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | IsabelSep 19 | 68 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1995 | OpalOct 6 | 52 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1989 | HugoSep 23 | 54 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1955 | ConnieAug 13 | 3 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1954 | HazelOct 16 | 67 mi | Category 1 (77 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormSep 20 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 29 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 30 | 9 mi | Tropical storm (59 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 14 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (70 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormSep 13 | 12 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 18 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Warren: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Warren
By decade
- 2010s8
- 2000s6
- 1990s5
- 1980s9(4 EF3+)
- 1970s3(1 EF3+)
- 1960s4(1 EF3+)
- 1950s3
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 1985 | F4 | 17 mi | 29 mi | 4 / 40 |
| May 31, 1985 | F4 | 20 mi | 28 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F3 | 14 mi | 17 mi | 0 / 8 |
| May 31, 1985 | F3 | 13 mi | 13 mi | 0 / 10 |
| Jun 2, 1971 | F3 | 22 mi | 29.3 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 20, 1969 | F3 | 17 mi | 84.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 14, 2019 | EF2 | 1 mi | 18 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 24, 2010 | EF2 | 22 mi | 7.62 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F2 | 22 mi | 19 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 16, 1965 | F2 | 23 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 3 |
| Nov 22, 1953 | F2 | 25 mi | 2 mi | 0 / 2 |
| Jul 19, 1952 | F2 | 25 mi | 5.6 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 38, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Warren
The Storm Prediction Center has 21 hail reports within 10 miles of Warren since 1985, made on 20 separate days. Of these, 9 were 1 inch across or larger, and 2 reached 2 inches. The largest, 2.75 inches (baseball size), fell on May 31, 1985. The most recent report is from May 16, 2025. May and August have the most reports, 5 each.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Warren
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Warren, PA, in Warren at 1,210 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 81°F and low of 59°F; January is the coolest, at 33°F and 18°F. July is the wettest at 4.8 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.8 inches; the year adds up to 47.1 inches over 108 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 54% of the year's precipitation (25.2 of 47.1 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 11 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (6); a normal September there has highs of 74°F and 4.0 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 7 days a year, almost all from June to August. Lows fall below freezing on about 141 nights a year. Snowfall averages 71.6 inches a year, most of it in December. That 47.1 inches is more than at 102 of the 148 Pennsylvania stations used on this site (69%). Youngsville, 8 miles west, has its own station (Chandlers Valley 1SE, PA): 48.9 inches a year, 1.8 more than here, and a July average high of 80°F against 81°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 33 | 18 | 3.6 | 10 | 18.2 |
| Feb | 35 | 18 | 2.8 | 8 | 14.9 |
| Mar | 44 | 24 | 3.3 | 9 | 10.0 |
| Apr | 58 | 34 | 4.1 | 10 | 2.4 |
| May | 70 | 45 | 4.3 | 9 | 0.0 |
| Jun | 77 | 55 | 4.7 | 10 | 0.0 |
| Jul | 81 | 59 | 4.8 | 9 | 0.0 |
| Aug | 80 | 58 | 4.1 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Sep | 74 | 52 | 4.0 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Oct | 61 | 41 | 4.0 | 10 | 0.1 |
| Nov | 48 | 32 | 3.6 | 9 | 7.5 |
| Dec | 37 | 24 | 3.8 | 10 | 18.5 |
| Year | 58 | 38 | 47.1 | 108 | 71.6 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Warren, PA (1,210 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Warren
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 135 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Warren: 126 thunderstorm wind reports, 7 flash floods, 1 flood and 1 lightning strike. None is recorded as killing or injuring anyone; the NWS estimated $361,000 in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 90 mph, on May 28, 2013. August has had the most flash floods, 4 of 7. Of the 788 Pennsylvania cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 112 have had fewer than Warren.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Warren's ZIP code 16365 have filed 32 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1978, and were paid $360,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The year with the most claims was 1992, with 12. Of the 553 Pennsylvania cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 199 have fewer than Warren.
Warren County, which includes Warren, has been named in 10 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 6 of them major disasters (by incident: 3 hurricanes, 2 biological emergencies, 2 floods, 2 severe storms). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on March 30, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Warren County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for inland flooding, strong wind and lightning; Very Low for hurricanes, tornadoes, hail and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $23.1 million a year, the 40th highest of 67 Pennsylvania counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $20.6 million (89%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Warren
- Russell, PA8 mi
- Youngsville, PA8 mi
- Sugar Grove, PA12 mi
- Frewsburg, NY13 mi
- Jamestown, NY17 mi
- Lakewood, NY19 mi
- Falconer, NY19 mi
- Kennedy, NY21 mi
- Ashville, NY21 mi
- Panama, NY23 mi
- Randolph, NY24 mi
- Kane, PA24 mi
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