NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Aylett, VA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
50 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Aylett, Virginia since 1851, 4 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Elsa in 2021. Since 1950, 68 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 4
- Tropical storms
- 46
- Tornadoes
- 68
- EF3 or stronger
- 3
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
3 deaths in all
What the records show for Aylett
The strongest storm to pass near Aylett was an unnamed storm in 1878, a Category 2 hurricane with 97 mph winds when its centre passed 3 miles away. The record near Aylett begins with an unnamed storm in 1859; the most recent system was Elsa in 2021, a tropical storm 38 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1880s, with 7 systems. Of the 50 systems, 10 have come since 2000. Aylett has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 69% of the 364 Virginia cities on this site. The highest rating among the 68 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3 or EF3, reached 3 times; the most recent, on February 24, 2016, came within 10 miles. The deadliest, an F3 on April 1, 1998, killed 2 people. Of the 68, 4 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 47 have come since 2000. September has had the most tornadoes, 15. The most recent tornado was on August 8, 2024. Aylett has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 70% of the 364 Virginia cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 24 times since 1960, with stones up to 3 inches (tea cup size). Of the 364 Virginia cities, 81% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Aylett.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Aylett
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | ElsaJul 9 | 38 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2020 | ZetaOct 29 | 18 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 3 |
| 2020 | IsaiasAug 4 | 21 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2019 | NestorOct 20 | 60 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2018 | MichaelOct 12 | 73 mi | Tropical storm (62 mph) | Category 5 |
| 2013 | AndreaJun 7 | 58 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2008 | HannaSep 6 | 23 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2006 | ErnestoSep 2 | 22 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2004 | GastonAug 31 | 51 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2003 | IsabelSep 19 | 59 mi | Tropical storm (68 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1996 | BerthaJul 13 | 39 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1971 | DoriaAug 28 | 75 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1963 | Unnamed 1963 stormJun 3 | 56 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1960 | BrendaJul 30 | 59 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1959 | CindyJul 10 | 75 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1955 | ConnieAug 13 | 51 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1954 | HazelOct 15 | 35 mi | Category 1 (86 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1952 | AbleSep 1 | 73 mi | Tropical storm (53 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1945 | Unnamed 1945 stormSep 18 | 14 mi | Tropical storm (41 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1944 | Unnamed 1944 stormOct 21 | 47 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1944 | Unnamed 1944 stormAug 2 | 8 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1943 | Unnamed 1943 stormOct 1 | 56 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1933 | Unnamed 1933 stormAug 23 | 17 mi | Tropical storm (70 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1929 | Unnamed 1929 stormOct 2 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormSep 19 | 16 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormAug 12 | 11 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1924 | Unnamed 1924 stormSep 30 | 68 mi | Category 1 (74 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1916 | Unnamed 1916 stormMay 17 | 63 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 4 | 62 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1904 | Unnamed 1904 stormSep 15 | 37 mi | Tropical storm (68 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormOct 12 | overhead | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 16 | 32 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1899 | Unnamed 1899 stormOct 31 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (59 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 13 | 57 mi | Category 1 (78 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 29 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1889 | Unnamed 1889 stormSep 25 | 54 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormSep 11 | 20 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1886 | Unnamed 1886 stormJul 2 | 38 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1885 | Unnamed 1885 stormOct 13 | 60 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1883 | Unnamed 1883 stormSep 12 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1882 | Unnamed 1882 stormSep 23 | 75 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1882 | Unnamed 1882 stormSep 11 | 31 mi | Tropical storm (51 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormOct 23 | 3 mi | Category 2 (97 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1877 | Unnamed 1877 stormOct 4 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (61 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 17 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (71 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1874 | Unnamed 1874 stormSep 29 | 42 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1872 | Unnamed 1872 stormOct 26 | 42 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1863 | Unnamed 1863 stormSep 18 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1861 | Unnamed 1861 stormSep 27 | 73 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1859 | Unnamed 1859 stormSep 17 | 37 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Category 1 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Aylett: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Aylett
By decade
- 2020s2
- 2010s17(1 EF3+)
- 2000s28
- 1990s7(2 EF3+)
- 1980s3
- 1970s3
- 1960s1
- 1950s7
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 1998 | F3 | 20 mi | 5 mi | 2 / 0 |
| Oct 18, 1990 | F3 | 11 mi | 5 mi | 1 / 0 |
| Feb 24, 2016 | EF3 | 10 mi | 30.34 mi | 0 / 25 |
| Apr 1, 1998 | F2 | 16 mi | 4 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Mar 24, 1969 | F2 | 23 mi | 0.3 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Jun 13, 1951 | F2 | 19 mi | 4.1 mi | 0 / 12 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | EF1 | 23 mi | 1.72 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 17, 2018 | EF1 | 24 mi | 4 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF1 | 15 mi | 9.24 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF1 | 23 mi | 2.54 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 27, 2011 | EF1 | 21 mi | 0.24 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Oct 27, 2010 | EF1 | 13 mi | 11.36 mi | 0 / 1 |
The strongest 12 of 68, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Aylett
The Storm Prediction Center has 24 hail reports within 10 miles of Aylett since 1960, made on 18 separate days. Of these, 16 were 1 inch across or larger, and one reached 2 inches. The largest, 3 inches (tea cup size), fell on May 30, 1960. The most recent report is from September 7, 2023. May has the most reports, 8.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Aylett
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Walkerton 2 NW, VA, 8 miles southeast of Aylett at 50 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 88°F and low of 69°F; January is the coolest, at 49°F and 29°F. July is the wettest at 4.8 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.9 inches; the year adds up to 45.7 inches over 76 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 54% of the year's precipitation (24.9 of 45.7 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 50 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (18); a normal September there has highs of 81°F and 4.4 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 46 days a year, almost all from May to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 82 nights a year. Snowfall averages 7.8 inches a year, most of it in January. That 45.7 inches is more than at 52 of the 109 Virginia stations used on this site (48%). Hanover, 9 miles west, has its own station (Ashland Hanover Co Municipal Airport, VA): 45.8 inches a year, 0.1 more than here, and a July average high of 89°F against 88°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 49 | 29 | 3.2 | 6 | 3.4 |
| Feb | 52 | 31 | 2.9 | 6 | 2.4 |
| Mar | 60 | 38 | 4.0 | 7 | 1.0 |
| Apr | 72 | 47 | 3.2 | 7 | 0.0 |
| May | 78 | 57 | 3.8 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Jun | 85 | 65 | 4.2 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Jul | 88 | 69 | 4.8 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Aug | 87 | 68 | 4.4 | 6 | 0.0 |
| Sep | 81 | 62 | 4.4 | 6 | 0.0 |
| Oct | 72 | 50 | 3.8 | 5 | 0.0 |
| Nov | 61 | 39 | 3.3 | 6 | 0.1 |
| Dec | 52 | 32 | 3.7 | 7 | 0.9 |
| Year | 70 | 49 | 45.7 | 76 | 7.8 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Walkerton 2 NW, VA (50 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Aylett
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 116 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Aylett: 97 thunderstorm wind reports, 7 flash floods, 6 heavy rain events, 5 floods and 1 lightning strike. None is recorded as killing or injuring anyone; the NWS estimated $226,000 in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 70 mph, on August 16, 2007. July has had the most flash floods, 3 of 7. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 30 have had fewer than Aylett.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
King William County, which includes Aylett, has been named in 24 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1969, 17 of them major disasters (by incident: 10 hurricanes, 4 severe storms, 3 snowstorms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm, on March 11, 2022. FEMA's National Risk Index gives King William County a Very Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Low for hurricanes and coastal flooding; Very Low for tornadoes, hail, inland flooding, strong wind, lightning and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $6.3 million a year, the 83rd highest of 133 Virginia counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $2.6 million (42%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Aylett
- Hanover, VA9 mi
- King William, VA13 mi
- Mechanicsville, VA14 mi
- Milford, VA15 mi
- Ashland, VA17 mi
- Tappahannock, VA17 mi
- New Kent, VA18 mi
- Bowling Green, VA19 mi
- Highland Springs, VA19 mi
- Quinton, VA20 mi
- Sandston, VA20 mi
- Ruther Glen, VA20 mi
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