NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Carmel, NY
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
38 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Carmel, New York since 1851, 6 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Ida in 2021. Since 1950, 50 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 0 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 6
- Tropical storms
- 32
- Tornadoes
- 50
- EF3 or stronger
- 0
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
11 deaths in all
What the records show for Carmel
The strongest storm to pass near Carmel was an unnamed storm in 1938, a Category 3 hurricane with 110 mph winds when its centre passed 40 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was an unnamed storm in 1893, whose centre came within 4 miles. The record near Carmel begins with an unnamed storm in 1861; the most recent system was Ida in 2021, a tropical storm 71 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1890s, with 5 systems, 2 of them at hurricane strength. Of the 38 systems, 4 have come since 2000. Carmel has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 65% of the 809 New York cities on this site. The highest rating among the 50 tornadoes within 25 miles is F2 or EF2, reached 7 times; the most recent, on May 15, 2018, came within 3 miles. The deadliest, an F1 on November 16, 1989, killed 9 people. Of the 50, 3 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 27 have come since 2000. May has had the most tornadoes, 13. The most recent tornado was on August 12, 2023. Carmel has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 98% of the 809 New York cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 48 times since 1991, with stones up to 1.75 inches (golf ball size). Carmel has more hail reports within 10 miles than 59% of the 809 New York cities.
Compare Carmel's storm record with another city →
Tropical storms and hurricanes near Carmel
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | IdaSep 2 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Category 4 |
| 2020 | IsaiasAug 4 | 50 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2011 | IreneAug 28 | 4 mi | Tropical storm (61 mph) | Category 3 |
| 2008 | HannaSep 7 | 46 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1999 | FloydSep 17 | 41 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1996 | BerthaJul 13 | 32 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1985 | GloriaSep 27 | 35 mi | Category 1 (86 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1976 | BelleAug 10 | 34 mi | Tropical storm (64 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1972 | AgnesJun 22 | 11 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1971 | DoriaAug 28 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1968 | Unnamed 1968 stormSep 11 | 33 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1961 | Unnamed 1961 stormSep 15 | 49 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1960 | DonnaSep 12 | 62 mi | Category 2 (96 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1960 | BrendaJul 30 | 32 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1955 | DianeAug 19 | 57 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1952 | AbleSep 1 | 12 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1949 | Unnamed 1949 stormAug 29 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (55 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1938 | Unnamed 1938 stormSep 21 | 40 mi | Category 3 (110 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1934 | Unnamed 1934 stormSep 9 | 39 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1934 | Unnamed 1934 stormJun 19 | 61 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1924 | Unnamed 1924 stormSep 30 | 5 mi | Tropical storm (66 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1916 | Unnamed 1916 stormMay 17 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 4 | 10 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 16 | 70 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1899 | Unnamed 1899 stormNov 1 | 39 mi | Tropical storm (53 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1897 | Unnamed 1897 stormSep 24 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1894 | Unnamed 1894 stormOct 10 | 61 mi | Category 1 (81 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 29 | 27 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 24 | 4 mi | Category 1 (81 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormSep 12 | 56 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormAug 22 | 4 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1882 | Unnamed 1882 stormSep 24 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormOct 23 | 62 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1874 | Unnamed 1874 stormSep 30 | 27 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1872 | Unnamed 1872 stormOct 26 | 42 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1866 | Unnamed 1866 stormOct 30 | 14 mi | Tropical storm (56 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1863 | Unnamed 1863 stormSep 19 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1861 | Unnamed 1861 stormSep 28 | 27 mi | Tropical storm (61 mph) | Category 1 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Carmel: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Carmel
By decade
- 2020s4
- 2010s9
- 2000s14
- 1990s10
- 1980s4
- 1970s6
- 1960s1
- 1950s2
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2018 | EF2 | 3 mi | 1.18 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 12, 2006 | F2 | 24 mi | 10.1 mi | 0 / 6 |
| Jul 10, 1989 | F2 | 2 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 5 |
| Jul 29, 1971 | F2 | in town | 4.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 29, 1971 | F2 | 18 mi | 6.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 21, 1951 | F2 | 18 mi | 43.9 mi | 0 / 9 |
| Jul 14, 1950 | F2 | 15 mi | 5 mi | 0 / 3 |
| Nov 16, 1989 | F1 | 25 mi | 9.1 mi | 9 / 18 |
| Nov 12, 2021 | EF1 | 22 mi | 2.44 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Oct 2, 2018 | EF1 | 23 mi | 3.76 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Oct 2, 2018 | EF1 | 18 mi | 4.28 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Oct 2, 2018 | EF1 | 23 mi | 2.12 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 50, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Carmel
The Storm Prediction Center has 48 hail reports within 10 miles of Carmel since 1991, made on 34 separate days. Of these, 23 were 1 inch across or larger, and none reached 2 inches. The largest size, 1.75 inches (golf ball size), was reported on 6 days, most recently September 6, 2014. The most recent report is from June 2, 2023. June and July have the most reports, 16 each.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Carmel
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Carmel 4N, NY, 2 miles northeast of Carmel at 680 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 78°F and low of 61°F; January is the coolest, at 33°F and 16°F. December is the wettest at 5.0 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 3.0 inches; the year adds up to 50.5 inches over 87 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 53% of the year's precipitation (26.7 of 50.5 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 38 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (17); a normal September there has highs of 70°F and 4.9 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 2 days a year. Lows fall below freezing on about 137 nights a year. That 50.5 inches is more than at 125 of the 137 New York stations used on this site (91%). Holmes, 5 miles north, has its own station (Stormville, NY): 49.0 inches a year, 1.5 less than here, and a July average high of 83°F against 78°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 33 | 16 | 3.9 | 8 |
| Feb | 36 | 19 | 3.0 | 7 |
| Mar | 44 | 26 | 4.2 | 7 |
| Apr | 57 | 37 | 3.6 | 8 |
| May | 67 | 47 | 4.1 | 9 |
| Jun | 74 | 56 | 4.6 | 8 |
| Jul | 78 | 61 | 4.2 | 8 |
| Aug | 76 | 60 | 4.9 | 7 |
| Sep | 70 | 53 | 4.9 | 6 |
| Oct | 60 | 41 | 4.2 | 7 |
| Nov | 49 | 32 | 3.9 | 6 |
| Dec | 39 | 23 | 5.0 | 8 |
| Year | 57 | 39 | 50.5 | 87 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Carmel 4N, NY (680 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Carmel
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 202 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Carmel: 172 thunderstorm wind reports, 21 flash floods, 6 floods, 2 lightning strikes and 1 heavy rain event. They killed 1 person and injured 8, and the NWS estimated $1.5 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 86 mph, on May 15, 2018. July has had the most flash floods, 13 of 21. Of the 798 New York cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 333 have had fewer than Carmel.
June 22, 2011: heavy rain event 5 miles from the centre of Carmel — 1 killed.
July 7, 1997: thunderstorm wind 2 miles from the centre of Carmel — 7 injured.
June 23, 2024: thunderstorm wind 6 miles from the centre of Carmel — 1 injured, $20,000 damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Carmel's ZIP code 10512 have filed 57 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1978, and were paid $258,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The year with the most claims was 1979, with 12. 39% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 549 New York cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 306 have fewer than Carmel.
Putnam County, which includes Carmel, has been named in 29 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1965, 17 of them major disasters (by incident: 11 hurricanes, 5 severe storms, 4 snowstorms, 3 floods). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Storms and Flooding, on July 22, 2023. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Putnam County a Very Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for strong wind; Relatively Low for hurricanes, tornadoes, inland flooding, lightning and heat waves; Very Low for hail and coastal flooding. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $20.3 million a year, the 44th highest of 62 New York counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $13.6 million (67%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Carmel
- Brewster, NY5 mi
- Holmes, NY5 mi
- Mahopac, NY6 mi
- Patterson, NY6 mi
- Stormville, NY8 mi
- Somers, NY8 mi
- Putnam Valley, NY9 mi
- North Salem, NY9 mi
- Pawling, NY10 mi
- New Fairfield, CT10 mi
- Goldens Bridge, NY10 mi
- Hopewell Junction, NY11 mi
All New York cities →All hurricanes since 1851 →Compare Carmel with another place →