NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Fairfax, VA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
28 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Fairfax, Virginia since 1851, 3 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Zeta in 2020. Since 1950, 108 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 5 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 3
- Tropical storms
- 25
- Tornadoes
- 108
- EF3 or stronger
- 5
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
7 deaths in all
What the records show for Fairfax
The strongest storm to pass near Fairfax was an unnamed storm in 1878, a Category 1 hurricane with 92 mph winds when its centre passed 7 miles away. The record near Fairfax begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Zeta in 2020, a tropical storm 54 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1890s, with 5 systems, one of them at hurricane strength. Of the 28 systems, 4 have come since 2000. Fairfax has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 33% of the 364 Virginia cities on this site. The strongest of the 108 tornadoes within 25 miles was an F4 on April 28, 2002; its path came within 22 miles, and it killed 3 people. Of the 108, 6 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 67 have come since 2000. April and September have had the most tornadoes, 19 each. The most recent tornado was on June 5, 2024. Fairfax has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 98% of the 364 Virginia cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 165 times since 1967, with stones up to 3 inches (tea cup size). Fairfax has more hail reports within 10 miles than 96% of the 364 Virginia cities.
Compare Fairfax's storm record with another city →
Tropical storms and hurricanes near Fairfax
Of the 28 tracks on the map, 13 were moving north as they passed Fairfax, 12 northeast and 2 east. The unnamed 1878 storm, the strongest pass, was heading north; its centre passed 7 miles east of Fairfax. None made landfall within 75 miles of Fairfax; 24 of the 28 were hurricanes at their peak, 3 at their closest to the city. In the last 30 seasons (1996–2025), 4 came near Fairfax: 1.3 a decade, against 1.7 a decade from 1851 to 1995.
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | ZetaOct 29 | 54 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 3 |
| 2020 | IsaiasAug 4 | 56 mi | Tropical storm (68 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2008 | HannaSep 6 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2006 | ErnestoSep 2 | 33 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1979 | DavidSep 6 | 65 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1955 | DianeAug 18 | 25 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1955 | ConnieAug 13 | 42 mi | Tropical storm (59 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1954 | HazelOct 15 | 12 mi | Category 1 (84 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1952 | AbleSep 1 | 20 mi | Tropical storm (55 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1949 | Unnamed 1949 stormAug 29 | 33 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1945 | Unnamed 1945 stormSep 18 | 37 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1944 | Unnamed 1944 stormAug 2 | 56 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1943 | Unnamed 1943 stormOct 1 | 35 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1934 | Unnamed 1934 stormJun 19 | 20 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1933 | Unnamed 1933 stormAug 24 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (62 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1929 | Unnamed 1929 stormOct 2 | 29 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormSep 20 | 23 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 4 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormOct 12 | 72 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1899 | Unnamed 1899 stormNov 1 | 34 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 30 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (70 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 23 | 31 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 14 | 41 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 29 | 13 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormSep 11 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1885 | Unnamed 1885 stormOct 13 | 38 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormOct 23 | 7 mi | Category 1 (92 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 18 | 9 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Fairfax: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Check hail and hurricane history for any address
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Fairfax
By decade
- 2020s10
- 2010s29
- 2000s28(2 EF3+)
- 1990s21
- 1980s6
- 1970s8(3 EF3+)
- 1960s2
- 1950s4
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2002 | F4 | 22 mi | 38 mi | 3 / 122 |
| Sep 24, 2001 | F3 | 19 mi | 17.5 mi | 2 / 55 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F3 | 8 mi | 17.9 mi | 1 / 6 |
| Jan 26, 1978 | F3 | 24 mi | 0.7 mi | 1 / 10 |
| Apr 1, 1973 | F3 | 3 mi | 9.8 mi | 0 / 37 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 5 mi | 15 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 17 mi | 4 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 22 mi | 13 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 24, 1996 | F2 | 1 mi | 20 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Oct 5, 1995 | F2 | 20 mi | 2.5 mi | 0 / 3 |
| Sep 27, 1993 | F2 | 19 mi | 3 mi | 0 / 2 |
| Oct 13, 1983 | F2 | 7 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 108, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Fairfax
The Storm Prediction Center has 165 hail reports within 10 miles of Fairfax since 1967, made on 82 separate days. Of these, 110 were 1 inch across or larger, and 8 reached 2 inches. The largest, 3 inches (tea cup size), fell on August 11, 2004. The most recent report is from August 29, 2024. May has the most reports, 46.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Fairfax
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Vienna, VA, 3 miles northeast of Fairfax at 418 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 84°F and low of 67°F; January is the coolest, at 42°F and 23°F. May and July are the wettest at 4.3 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.6 inches; the year adds up to 43.5 inches over 77 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 52% of the year's precipitation (22.7 of 43.5 inches); the other six months are drier. Highs reach 90°F on about 13 days a year, almost all from June to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 99 nights a year. Snowfall averages 18.5 inches a year, most of it in February. That 43.5 inches is more than at 25 of the 109 Virginia stations used on this site (23%). Centreville, 7 miles west, has its own station (Washington Dc Dulles Airport, VA): 43.2 inches a year, 0.3 less than here, and a July average high of 88°F against 84°F.
Water temperature at the NOAA tide station Washington, DC, 16 miles east, averaged 84°F in July and 39°F in January over 2021–2025. It averaged 80°F or warmer from July to August. Sea level at the Washington tide gauge, 16 miles from Fairfax, has risen 1.40 ± 0.05 inches per decade from 1924 to 2025, NOAA's linear trend; at that pace it is 14.0 inches in a hundred years. That is faster than at 84 of the 144 U.S. gauges with a NOAA trend.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in | Water °F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 42 | 23 | 3.3 | 7 | 6.5 | 39 |
| Feb | 45 | 24 | 2.6 | 6 | 7.5 | 41 |
| Mar | 53 | 32 | 3.8 | 7 | 2.0 | 50 |
| Apr | 65 | 41 | 3.4 | 7 | 0.0 | 60 |
| May | 72 | 52 | 4.3 | 8 | 0.0 | 69 |
| Jun | 80 | 61 | 4.1 | 8 | 0.0 | 77 |
| Jul | 84 | 67 | 4.3 | 6 | 0.0 | 84 |
| Aug | 82 | 65 | 3.5 | 6 | 0.0 | 82 |
| Sep | 76 | 57 | 4.2 | 6 | 0.0 | 76 |
| Oct | 65 | 45 | 3.5 | 5 | 0.0 | 66 |
| Nov | 56 | 35 | 3.1 | 5 | 0.1 | 54 |
| Dec | 46 | 28 | 3.4 | 7 | 2.4 | 42 |
| Year | 64 | 44 | 43.5 | 77 | 18.5 | 62 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Vienna, VA (418 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals; water temperature: average of hourly readings 2021–2025 at the NOAA tide station Washington, DC, from NOAA Tides & Currents. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Fairfax
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 1,051 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Fairfax: 574 thunderstorm wind reports, 289 floods, 185 flash floods, 2 lightning strikes and 1 heavy rain event. They killed 4 people and injured 9, and the NWS estimated $15.3 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 90 mph, on May 23, 2019. July has had the most flash floods, 84 of 185. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 355 have had fewer than Fairfax.
June 4, 2008: thunderstorm wind 6 miles from the centre of Fairfax — 1 killed, $10,000 damage.
September 8, 2011: flash flood 4 miles from the centre of Fairfax — 1 killed.
June 29, 2012: thunderstorm wind 6 miles from the centre of Fairfax — 1 killed.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Fairfax's 4 ZIP codes have filed 134 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1978, and were paid $1.2 million for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The year with the most claims was 2011, with 32. 13% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 183 Virginia cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 146 have fewer than Fairfax.
Fairfax city, which includes Fairfax, has been named in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 11 of them major disasters (by incident: 5 hurricanes, 5 snowstorms, 3 severe storms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on April 2, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Fairfax City a Very Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Low for hurricanes, strong wind, lightning and heat waves; Very Low for tornadoes, hail and inland flooding. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $4.8 million a year, the 100th highest of 133 Virginia counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $2.5 million (52%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.