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NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database

Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Herndon, VA

Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.

Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated

26 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Herndon, Virginia since 1851, 3 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Zeta in 2020. Since 1950, 95 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.

Hurricanes
3

within 75 mi, since 1851

Tropical storms
23

below hurricane strength

Tornadoes
95

within 25 mi, since 1950

EF3 or stronger
3

3 deaths in all

What the records show for Herndon

The strongest storm to pass near Herndon was an unnamed storm in 1878, a Category 1 hurricane with 92 mph winds when its centre passed 11 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was Hazel in 1954, whose centre came within 7 miles. The record near Herndon begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Zeta in 2020, a tropical storm 62 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1890s, with 5 systems, one of them at hurricane strength. Of the 26 systems, 4 have come since 2000. Herndon has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 33% of the 364 Virginia cities on this site. The highest rating among the 95 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3, reached 3 times; the most recent, on September 24, 2001, came within 22 miles. Of the 95, 8 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 58 have come since 2000. June has had the most tornadoes, 20. The most recent tornado was on August 8, 2024. Herndon has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 91% of the 364 Virginia cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 179 times since 1961, with stones up to 5 inches. Herndon has more hail reports within 10 miles than 97% of the 364 Virginia cities.

Compare Herndon's storm record with another city →

Tropical storms and hurricanes near Herndon

Tropical systems that passed within 75 miles of Herndon, Virginia, newest first
YearStormClosestStrength when closestPeak
2020ZetaOct 2962 miTropical storm (52 mph)Category 3
2020IsaiasAug 462 miTropical storm (68 mph)Category 1
2012SandyOct 3075 miTropical storm (60 mph)Category 3
2006ErnestoSep 237 miTropical storm (46 mph)Category 1
1979DavidSep 658 miTropical storm (46 mph)Category 5
1955DianeAug 1817 miTropical storm (44 mph)Category 2
1955ConnieAug 1343 miTropical storm (58 mph)Category 4
1954HazelOct 157 miCategory 1 (84 mph)Category 4
1952AbleSep 112 miTropical storm (55 mph)Category 2
1949Unnamed 1949 stormAug 2926 miTropical storm (58 mph)Category 4
1945Unnamed 1945 stormSep 1844 miTropical storm (39 mph)Category 4
1944Unnamed 1944 stormAug 263 miTropical storm (40 mph)Category 1
1943Unnamed 1943 stormOct 137 miTropical storm (46 mph)Tropical storm
1934Unnamed 1934 stormJun 1912 miTropical storm (46 mph)Category 2
1933Unnamed 1933 stormAug 2412 miTropical storm (62 mph)Category 4
1929Unnamed 1929 stormOct 235 miTropical storm (58 mph)Category 4
1928Unnamed 1928 stormSep 2020 miTropical storm (52 mph)Category 5
1915Unnamed 1915 stormAug 41 miTropical storm (47 mph)Category 1
1899Unnamed 1899 stormNov 141 miTropical storm (58 mph)Category 2
1896Unnamed 1896 stormSep 3064 miTropical storm (70 mph)Category 3
1893Unnamed 1893 stormOct 2329 miTropical storm (43 mph)Tropical storm
1893Unnamed 1893 stormOct 1436 miCategory 1 (75 mph)Category 3
1893Unnamed 1893 stormAug 295 miTropical storm (63 mph)Category 3
1885Unnamed 1885 stormOct 1332 miTropical storm (46 mph)Tropical storm
1878Unnamed 1878 stormOct 2311 miCategory 1 (92 mph)Category 2
1876Unnamed 1876 stormSep 187 miTropical storm (66 mph)Category 3

Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Herndon: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.

Tornadoes within 25 miles of Herndon

By decade

  • 2020s13
  • 2010s23
  • 2000s22(1 EF3+)
  • 1990s18
  • 1980s6
  • 1970s6(2 EF3+)
  • 1960s2
  • 1950s5
Strongest tornadoes near Herndon, Virginia
DateRatingDistancePathKilled / injured
Sep 24, 2001F322 mi17.5 mi2 / 55
Sep 5, 1979F37 mi17.9 mi1 / 6
Apr 1, 1973F311 mi9.8 mi0 / 37
Sep 17, 2004F21 mi15 mi0 / 1
Sep 17, 2004F223 mi4 mi0 / 0
Sep 17, 2004F219 mi13 mi0 / 0
Jun 24, 1996F28 mi20 mi0 / 1
Sep 27, 1993F217 mi3 mi0 / 2
Oct 13, 1983F212 mi1 mi0 / 0
Jul 28, 1981F24 mi0.1 mi0 / 0
Jun 3, 1980F212 mi2.7 mi0 / 0
Sep 5, 1979F214 mi0.5 mi0 / 0

The strongest 12 of 95, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.

Hail in Herndon

The Storm Prediction Center has 179 hail reports within 10 miles of Herndon since 1961, made on 85 separate days. Of these, 131 were 1 inch across or larger, and 9 reached 2 inches. The largest, 5 inches, fell on July 2, 1968. The most recent report is from August 29, 2024. June has the most reports, 47.

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.

Radar-estimated hail days in Herndon since 2019 →

Weather by month in Herndon

The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Washington Dc Dulles Airport, VA, 4 miles west of Herndon at 290 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 88°F and low of 67°F; January is the coolest, at 43°F and 25°F. May is the wettest at 4.7 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.6 inches; the year adds up to 43.2 inches over 74 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 53% of the year's precipitation (22.7 of 43.2 inches); the other six months are drier. October has brought the most of the 26 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (9); a normal October there has highs of 68°F and 3.7 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 33 days a year, almost all from May to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 102 nights a year. Snowfall averages 21.0 inches a year, most of it in February. That 43.2 inches is more than at 22 of the 109 Virginia stations used on this site (20%). Reston, 3 miles east, has its own station (Vienna, VA): 43.5 inches a year, 0.3 more than here, and a July average high of 84°F against 88°F.

Water temperature at the NOAA tide station Washington, DC, 21 miles east, averaged 84°F in July and 39°F in January over 2021–2025. It averaged 80°F or warmer from July to August. Sea level at the Washington tide gauge, 21 miles from Herndon, has risen 1.40 ± 0.05 inches per decade from 1924 to 2025, NOAA's linear trend; at that pace it is 14.0 inches in a hundred years. That is faster than at 84 of the 144 U.S. gauges with a NOAA trend.

Monthly climate normals 1991–2020 at Washington Dc Dulles Airport, VA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. inDays ≥ 0.1"Snow inWater °F
Jan43252.966.939
Feb46272.667.041
Mar55343.573.950
Apr67433.560.160
May75534.780.069
Jun83624.370.077
Jul88674.270.084
Aug86653.560.082
Sep79583.960.076
Oct68453.750.066
Nov57363.150.354
Dec47293.362.842
Year664543.27421.062

Averages for 1991–2020 at Washington Dc Dulles Airport, VA (290 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals; water temperature: average of hourly readings 2021–2025 at the NOAA tide station Washington, DC, from NOAA Tides & Currents. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.

Virginia weather by month, station by station →

Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Herndon

Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 757 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Herndon: 473 thunderstorm wind reports, 161 floods, 120 flash floods, 2 lightning strikes and 1 heavy rain event. They killed 3 people and injured 0, and the NWS estimated $3.9 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 81 mph, on May 23, 2019. July has had the most flash floods, 54 of 120. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 344 have had fewer than Herndon.

  • July 25, 2010: thunderstorm wind 4 miles from the centre of Herndon — 1 killed.

  • September 8, 2011: flash flood 7 miles from the centre of Herndon — 1 killed.

  • September 8, 2011: flash flood 8 miles from the centre of Herndon — 1 killed.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.

Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings

Flood insurance policyholders in Herndon's 2 ZIP codes have filed 48 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1979, and were paid $79,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The year with the most claims was 2011, with 15. 17% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 183 Virginia cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 94 have fewer than Herndon.

Fairfax County, which includes Herndon, has been named in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 13 of them major disasters (by incident: 5 hurricanes, 5 snowstorms, 4 severe storms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on April 2, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Fairfax County a Relatively High rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Very High for lightning; Relatively High for hail, inland flooding, strong wind and heat waves; Relatively Moderate for hurricanes; Relatively Low for tornadoes and coastal flooding. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $219.1 million a year, the highest of 133 Virginia counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $154.7 million (71%), is from inland flooding.

Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.

Cities near Herndon