NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Progreso, TX
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
36 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Progreso, Texas since 1851, 14 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Hanna in 2020. Since 1950, 67 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 14
- Tropical storms
- 22
- Tornadoes
- 67
- EF3 or stronger
- 3
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
no recorded deaths
What the records show for Progreso
The strongest storm to pass near Progreso was an unnamed storm in 1916, a Category 4 hurricane with 132 mph winds when its centre passed 72 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was an unnamed storm in 1933, whose centre came within 6 miles. The record near Progreso begins with an unnamed storm in 1854; the most recent system was Hanna in 2020, a Category 1 hurricane 36 miles away. The 1910s and the 1930s were the busiest decades, with 4 systems each. Of the 36 systems, 4 have come since 2000. Progreso has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 87% of the 753 Texas cities on this site. The highest rating among the 67 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3, reached 3 times; the most recent, on March 15, 1983, came within 21 miles. Of the 67, none had a path within 5 miles of the city centre, and 27 have come since 2000. September has had the most tornadoes, 22. The most recent tornado was on March 27, 2025. Of the 753 Texas cities, 78% have more tornadoes within 25 miles than Progreso. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 23 times since 1966, with stones up to 4.5 inches (grapefruit size). Of the 753 Texas cities, 90% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Progreso.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Progreso
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | HannaJul 26 | 36 mi | Category 1 (74 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2010 | HermineSep 7 | 18 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2008 | DollyJul 24 | 30 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 2 |
| 2003 | ErikaAug 16 | 65 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1999 | BretAug 23 | 62 mi | Category 2 (99 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1993 | ArleneJun 20 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1983 | BarryAug 28 | 44 mi | Tropical storm (61 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1980 | AllenAug 10 | 29 mi | Category 2 (106 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1978 | AmeliaJul 30 | 41 mi | Tropical storm (51 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1975 | CarolineSep 1 | 65 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1967 | BeulahSep 20 | 27 mi | Category 2 (105 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1960 | Unnamed 1960 stormJun 24 | 55 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1958 | GerdaSep 20 | 42 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1958 | AlmaJun 15 | 26 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1954 | AliceJun 25 | 27 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1947 | Unnamed 1947 stormAug 2 | 9 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1944 | Unnamed 1944 stormAug 22 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1936 | Unnamed 1936 stormSep 13 | 32 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1933 | Unnamed 1933 stormSep 5 | 6 mi | Category 1 (86 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1933 | Unnamed 1933 stormAug 5 | 37 mi | Tropical storm (62 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1931 | Unnamed 1931 stormJun 28 | 48 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1925 | Unnamed 1925 stormSep 7 | 23 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1916 | Unnamed 1916 stormAug 18 | 72 mi | Category 4 (132 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1912 | Unnamed 1912 stormOct 16 | 66 mi | Category 2 (98 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1910 | Unnamed 1910 stormSep 15 | 59 mi | Tropical storm (68 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1910 | Unnamed 1910 stormAug 31 | 47 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1909 | Unnamed 1909 stormJun 29 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 26 | 62 mi | Category 1 (76 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1895 | Unnamed 1895 stormAug 30 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1887 | Unnamed 1887 stormSep 22 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (68 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1886 | Unnamed 1886 stormSep 23 | 42 mi | Category 1 (94 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1880 | Unnamed 1880 stormAug 13 | 11 mi | Category 3 (112 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1874 | Unnamed 1874 stormSep 4 | 1 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1867 | Unnamed 1867 stormOct 2 | 56 mi | Category 2 (104 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1857 | Unnamed 1857 stormSep 30 | 12 mi | Tropical storm (55 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1854 | Unnamed 1854 stormJun 26 | 17 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 1 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Progreso: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Progreso
By decade
- 2020s4
- 2010s4
- 2000s19
- 1990s9
- 1980s13(1 EF3+)
- 1970s6
- 1960s8(2 EF3+)
- 1950s4
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 1983 | F3 | 21 mi | 6.1 mi | 0 / 10 |
| May 12, 1969 | F3 | 23 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 12, 1969 | F3 | 20 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 24, 1970 | F2 | 11 mi | 25.5 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Apr 26, 1967 | F2 | 17 mi | 40.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 30, 2011 | EF1 | 14 mi | 0.4 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Jul 16, 2007 | EF1 | 18 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 21, 2001 | F1 | 23 mi | 0.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 21, 2001 | F1 | 24 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 16, 1988 | F1 | 18 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 29, 1981 | F1 | 23 mi | 2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 21, 1977 | F1 | 18 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 67, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Progreso
The Storm Prediction Center has 23 hail reports within 10 miles of Progreso since 1966, made on 18 separate days. Of these, 14 were 1 inch across or larger, and 2 reached 2 inches. The largest, 4.5 inches (grapefruit size), fell on April 29, 1991. The most recent report is from May 8, 2025. May has the most reports, 11.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Progreso
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Weslaco, TX, 6 miles north of Progreso at 75 feet. August is the warmest, with an average high of 97°F and low of 76°F; January is the coolest, at 71°F and 50°F. September is the wettest at 5.6 inches of precipitation on average and January and February the driest at 1.0 inches; the year adds up to 25.8 inches. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 66% of the year's precipitation (16.9 of 25.8 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 36 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (12); a normal September there has highs of 92°F and 5.6 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 160 days a year, almost all from February to November. Lows fall below freezing on about 1 nights a year. That 25.8 inches is more than at 85 of the 312 Texas stations used on this site (27%). La Feria, 10 miles northeast, has its own station (Santa Rosa 3 WNW, TX): 24.7 inches a year, 1.1 less than here, and the same August average high, 97°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 71 | 50 | 1.0 |
| Feb | 75 | 54 | 1.0 |
| Mar | 81 | 60 | 1.5 |
| Apr | 86 | 65 | 1.5 |
| May | 90 | 72 | 2.6 |
| Jun | 95 | 76 | 2.8 |
| Jul | 96 | 77 | 2.2 |
| Aug | 97 | 76 | 1.9 |
| Sep | 92 | 73 | 5.6 |
| Oct | 87 | 66 | 2.8 |
| Nov | 80 | 58 | 1.6 |
| Dec | 72 | 52 | 1.3 |
| Year | 85 | 65 | 25.8 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Weslaco, TX (75 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Progreso
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 77 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Progreso: 31 thunderstorm wind reports, 22 flash floods, 16 floods, 6 heavy rain events and 2 lightning strikes. They killed 1 person and injured 0, and the NWS estimated $201.1 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 85 mph, on April 28, 2023. July has had the most flash floods, 9 of 22. Of the 745 Texas cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 466 have had fewer than Progreso.
August 1, 2010: flood 3 miles from the centre of Progreso — 1 killed.
NWS: “Flooding of the Lower Rio Grande Valley Flood Control Project floodway/levee system (spillway), which includes the Banker Floodway (from near Granjeno to just south of Pharr), the Main Floodway (from just south of Pharr to the split at the Arroyo Colorado just southwest of Mercedes, the Arroyo Colorado itself, and the…”
July 26, 2020: flash flood 7 miles from the centre of Progreso — $59.0 million damage.
October 24, 2015: flash flood 8 miles from the centre of Progreso — $50.0 million damage.
NWS: “After hours of rainfall the nuisance flooding became a flash flood. Several inches to at least a foot of water rose into homes in the Las Brisas subdivision on the east side of town, with three to five feet of water on neighborhood streets.”
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Progreso's ZIP code 78579 have filed 24 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1995, and were paid $850,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. 29% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 433 Texas cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 98 have fewer than Progreso.
Hidalgo County, which includes Progreso, has been named in 32 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1967, 22 of them major disasters (by incident: 15 hurricanes, 5 floods, 4 severe storms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Severe Storms and Flooding, on May 21, 2025. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Hidalgo County a Relatively High rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Very High for hurricanes and hail; Relatively High for tornadoes, inland flooding, strong wind, lightning and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $309.8 million a year, the 9th highest of 254 Texas counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $126.7 million (41%), is from hurricanes.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Progreso
- Mercedes, TX7 mi
- Donna, TX7 mi
- La Feria, TX10 mi
- Alamo, TX11 mi
- San Juan, TX13 mi
- Elsa, TX15 mi
- La Villa, TX15 mi
- Pharr, TX15 mi
- Santa Rosa, TX15 mi
- Weslaco, TX15 mi
- Hidalgo, TX17 mi
- Harlingen, TX18 mi
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