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NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database

Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Sterling, VA

Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.

Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated

26 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Sterling, Virginia since 1851, 3 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Zeta in 2020. Since 1950, 103 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.

Hurricanes
3

within 75 mi, since 1851

Tropical storms
23

below hurricane strength

Tornadoes
103

within 25 mi, since 1950

EF3 or stronger
3

3 deaths in all

What the records show for Sterling

The strongest storm to pass near Sterling was an unnamed storm in 1878, a Category 1 hurricane with 92 mph winds when its centre passed 11 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was Hazel in 1954, whose centre came within 6 miles. The record near Sterling begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Zeta in 2020, a tropical storm 66 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1890s, with 5 systems, one of them at hurricane strength. Of the 26 systems, 4 have come since 2000. Sterling has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 33% of the 364 Virginia cities on this site. The highest rating among the 103 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3, reached 3 times; the most recent, on September 24, 2001, came within 23 miles. Of the 103, 6 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 63 have come since 2000. June has had the most tornadoes, 20. The most recent tornado was on August 8, 2024. Sterling has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 96% of the 364 Virginia cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 145 times since 1961, with stones up to 5 inches. Sterling has more hail reports within 10 miles than 93% of the 364 Virginia cities.

Compare Sterling's storm record with another city →

Tropical storms and hurricanes near Sterling

Tropical systems that passed within 75 miles of Sterling, Virginia, newest first
YearStormClosestStrength when closestPeak
2020ZetaOct 2966 miTropical storm (52 mph)Category 3
2020IsaiasAug 464 miTropical storm (67 mph)Category 1
2012SandyOct 3070 miTropical storm (60 mph)Category 3
2006ErnestoSep 237 miTropical storm (45 mph)Category 1
1979DavidSep 655 miTropical storm (46 mph)Category 5
1955DianeAug 1813 miTropical storm (44 mph)Category 2
1955ConnieAug 1341 miTropical storm (56 mph)Category 4
1954HazelOct 156 miCategory 1 (84 mph)Category 4
1952AbleSep 19 miTropical storm (56 mph)Category 2
1949Unnamed 1949 stormAug 2923 miTropical storm (58 mph)Category 4
1945Unnamed 1945 stormSep 1847 miTropical storm (39 mph)Category 4
1944Unnamed 1944 stormAug 267 miTropical storm (40 mph)Category 1
1943Unnamed 1943 stormOct 137 miTropical storm (45 mph)Tropical storm
1934Unnamed 1934 stormJun 197 miTropical storm (46 mph)Category 2
1933Unnamed 1933 stormAug 2412 miTropical storm (61 mph)Category 4
1929Unnamed 1929 stormOct 236 miTropical storm (58 mph)Category 4
1928Unnamed 1928 stormSep 2021 miTropical storm (51 mph)Category 5
1915Unnamed 1915 stormAug 45 miTropical storm (47 mph)Category 1
1899Unnamed 1899 stormNov 143 miTropical storm (58 mph)Category 2
1896Unnamed 1896 stormSep 3063 miTropical storm (70 mph)Category 3
1893Unnamed 1893 stormOct 2326 miTropical storm (43 mph)Tropical storm
1893Unnamed 1893 stormOct 1435 miCategory 1 (75 mph)Category 3
1893Unnamed 1893 stormAug 292 miTropical storm (63 mph)Category 3
1885Unnamed 1885 stormOct 1331 miTropical storm (46 mph)Tropical storm
1878Unnamed 1878 stormOct 2311 miCategory 1 (92 mph)Category 2
1876Unnamed 1876 stormSep 188 miTropical storm (66 mph)Category 3

Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Sterling: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.

Tornadoes within 25 miles of Sterling

By decade

  • 2020s14
  • 2010s24
  • 2000s25(1 EF3+)
  • 1990s21
  • 1980s6
  • 1970s5(2 EF3+)
  • 1960s3
  • 1950s5
Strongest tornadoes near Sterling, Virginia
DateRatingDistancePathKilled / injured
Sep 24, 2001F323 mi17.5 mi2 / 55
Sep 5, 1979F37 mi17.9 mi1 / 6
Apr 1, 1973F315 mi9.8 mi0 / 37
Sep 17, 2004F21 mi15 mi0 / 1
Sep 17, 2004F221 mi13 mi0 / 0
Jun 24, 1996F213 mi20 mi0 / 1
Sep 27, 1993F220 mi3 mi0 / 2
Oct 13, 1983F215 mi1 mi0 / 0
Jul 28, 1981F29 mi0.1 mi0 / 0
Jun 3, 1980F212 mi2.7 mi0 / 0
Sep 5, 1979F29 mi0.5 mi0 / 0
Sep 5, 1979F29 mi0.5 mi0 / 2

The strongest 12 of 103, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.

Hail in Sterling

The Storm Prediction Center has 145 hail reports within 10 miles of Sterling since 1961, made on 80 separate days. Of these, 104 were 1 inch across or larger, and 7 reached 2 inches. The largest, 5 inches, fell on July 2, 1968. The most recent report is from August 29, 2024. June has the most reports, 40.

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.

Radar-estimated hail days in Sterling since 2019 →

Weather by month in Sterling

The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is WFO Sterling, VA, 6 miles southwest of Sterling at 288 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 87°F and low of 67°F; January is the coolest, at 42°F and 25°F. May is the wettest at 4.9 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.6 inches; the year adds up to 45.1 inches over 77 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 53% of the year's precipitation (23.7 of 45.1 inches); the other six months are drier. October has brought the most of the 26 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (9); a normal October there has highs of 68°F and 4.0 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 32 days a year, almost all from May to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 119 nights a year. That 45.1 inches is more than at 42 of the 109 Virginia stations used on this site (39%). Herndon, 5 miles south, has its own station (Washington Dc Dulles Airport, VA): 43.2 inches a year, 1.9 less than here, and a July average high of 88°F against 87°F.

Water temperature at the NOAA tide station Washington, DC, 23 miles southeast, averaged 84°F in July and 39°F in January over 2021–2025. It averaged 80°F or warmer from July to August. Sea level at the Washington tide gauge, 23 miles from Sterling, has risen 1.40 ± 0.05 inches per decade from 1924 to 2025, NOAA's linear trend; at that pace it is 14.0 inches in a hundred years. That is faster than at 84 of the 144 U.S. gauges with a NOAA trend.

Monthly climate normals 1991–2020 at WFO Sterling, VA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. inDays ≥ 0.1"Water °F
Jan42253.1739
Feb45262.6541
Mar54333.8750
Apr66433.5760
May74534.9869
Jun83634.6777
Jul87674.1784
Aug86663.7682
Sep79584.1676
Oct68454.0666
Nov56353.2654
Dec46293.5742
Year664545.17762

Averages for 1991–2020 at WFO Sterling, VA (288 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals; water temperature: average of hourly readings 2021–2025 at the NOAA tide station Washington, DC, from NOAA Tides & Currents. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.

Virginia weather by month, station by station →

Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Sterling

Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 706 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Sterling: 437 thunderstorm wind reports, 168 floods, 97 flash floods and 4 lightning strikes. They killed 6 people and injured 0, and the NWS estimated $5.0 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 90 mph, on July 25, 2010. July has had the most flash floods, 45 of 97. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 331 have had fewer than Sterling.

  • June 18, 1997: thunderstorm wind 10 miles from the centre of Sterling — 1 killed, $300,000 damage.

  • June 23, 2015: thunderstorm wind 8 miles from the centre of Sterling — 1 killed, $3,000 damage.

  • July 25, 2010: thunderstorm wind in Sterling — 1 killed.

    NWS: “A large tree fell onto a child walking in Claude Moore Park. The child was pronounced dead at 3:45 PM EDT.”

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.

Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings

Flood insurance policyholders in Sterling's 3 ZIP codes have filed 66 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1985, and were paid $1.3 million for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The most came from Flooding in 1996: 12 claims (18% of all) and $450,000, then Hurricane Fran in 1996 with 12. 39% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 183 Virginia cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 113 have fewer than Sterling.

Flood insurance claims in Sterling by named event
EventClaimsPaid
Flooding199612$450,000
Hurricane Fran199612$281,000

Loudoun County, which includes Sterling, has been named in 16 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 10 of them major disasters (by incident: 5 hurricanes, 4 snowstorms, 2 biological emergencies, 2 floods). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on April 2, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Loudoun County a Relatively Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively High for strong wind and lightning; Relatively Moderate for tornadoes, hail, inland flooding and heat waves; Relatively Low for hurricanes. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $60.7 million a year, the 4th highest of 133 Virginia counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $37.5 million (62%), is from inland flooding.

Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.

Cities near Sterling