NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Warsaw, NY
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
11 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Warsaw, New York since 1851, 1 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Frances in 2004. Since 1950, 19 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 0 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 1
- Tropical storms
- 10
- Tornadoes
- 19
- EF3 or stronger
- 0
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
2 deaths in all
What the records show for Warsaw
The strongest storm to pass near Warsaw was Hazel in 1954, a Category 1 hurricane with 76 mph winds when its centre passed 2 miles away. The record near Warsaw begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Frances in 2004, a tropical storm 16 miles away. Of the 11 systems, one has come since 2000. Of the 809 New York cities on this site, 49% have more hurricanes within 75 miles than Warsaw. The highest rating among the 19 tornadoes within 25 miles is F2 or EF2, reached 3 times; the most recent, on July 28, 2022, came within 6 miles. The deadliest, an F1 on September 3, 1993, killed 2 people. Of the 19, one had a path within 5 miles of the city centre, and 10 have come since 2000. July has had the most tornadoes, 10. The most recent tornado was on September 9, 2024. Of the 809 New York cities, 77% have more tornadoes within 25 miles than Warsaw. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 27 times since 1982, with stones up to 1.75 inches (golf ball size). Of the 809 New York cities, 71% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Warsaw.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Warsaw
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | FrancesSep 9 | 16 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1995 | OpalOct 6 | 37 mi | Tropical storm (41 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1989 | HugoSep 23 | 42 mi | Tropical storm (41 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1972 | AgnesJun 23 | 47 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1954 | HazelOct 16 | 2 mi | Category 1 (76 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1903 | Unnamed 1903 stormSep 17 | 61 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 29 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 30 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 14 | 29 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormSep 13 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 18 | 37 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Warsaw: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Warsaw
By decade
- 2020s7
- 2010s2
- 2000s1
- 1990s5
- 1970s1
- 1960s3
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2022 | EF2 | 6 mi | 10 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 2, 1998 | F2 | 2 mi | 15 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 2, 1972 | F2 | 7 mi | 12 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 3, 1993 | F1 | 18 mi | 4.2 mi | 2 / 0 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | EF1 | 24 mi | 2.8 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 25, 2009 | EF1 | 19 mi | 4.12 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 13, 1994 | F1 | 20 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 12, 1992 | F1 | 24 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 1, 1991 | F1 | 14 mi | 0.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 7, 1965 | F1 | 16 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 9, 2024 | EF0 | 23 mi | 0.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | EF0 | 12 mi | 0.75 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 19, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Warsaw
The Storm Prediction Center has 27 hail reports within 10 miles of Warsaw since 1982, made on 25 separate days. Of these, 10 were 1 inch across or larger, and none reached 2 inches. The largest, 1.75 inches (golf ball size), fell on April 29, 2025, the most recent report. June has the most reports, 9.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Warsaw
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Warsaw 6 SW, NY, 5 miles southwest of Warsaw at 1,820 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 76°F and low of 58°F; January is the coolest, at 28°F and 13°F. July is the wettest at 4.4 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.7 inches; the year adds up to 45.2 inches. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 55% of the year's precipitation (24.8 of 45.2 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 11 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (6); a normal September there has highs of 68°F and 4.1 inches of precipitation. Highs of 90°F are rare: fewer than one day a year on average. Lows fall below freezing on about 157 nights a year. That 45.2 inches is more than at 82 of the 137 New York stations used on this site (60%). Perry, 8 miles east, has its own station (Mt Morris 2 W, NY): 33.1 inches a year, 12.1 less than here, and a July average high of 81°F against 76°F.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 28 | 13 | 3.5 |
| Feb | 30 | 14 | 2.7 |
| Mar | 38 | 21 | 3.1 |
| Apr | 51 | 32 | 3.5 |
| May | 64 | 45 | 4.0 |
| Jun | 72 | 54 | 4.3 |
| Jul | 76 | 58 | 4.4 |
| Aug | 75 | 57 | 4.0 |
| Sep | 68 | 49 | 4.1 |
| Oct | 56 | 39 | 4.3 |
| Nov | 44 | 29 | 3.7 |
| Dec | 33 | 20 | 3.6 |
| Year | 53 | 36 | 45.2 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Warsaw 6 SW, NY (1,820 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Warsaw
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 61 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Warsaw: 50 thunderstorm wind reports, 5 flash floods, 3 heavy rain events, 2 floods and 1 lightning strike. None is recorded as killing or injuring anyone; the NWS estimated $879,000 in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 70 mph, on January 9, 2008. June has had the most flash floods, 3 of 5. Of the 798 New York cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 58 have had fewer than Warsaw.
June 14, 2015: flash flood 9 miles from the centre of Warsaw — $150,000 damage.
May 30, 2015: flash flood 2 miles from the centre of Warsaw — $100,000 damage.
June 14, 2015: flash flood 9 miles from the centre of Warsaw — $100,000 damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Warsaw's ZIP code 14569 have filed 11 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1983, and were paid $86,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. Of the 549 New York cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 15 have fewer than Warsaw.
Wyoming County, which includes Warsaw, has been named in 24 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 13 of them major disasters (by incident: 8 snowstorms, 4 severe storms, 3 floods, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on March 20, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Wyoming County a Very Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Low for hurricanes, tornadoes, hail, inland flooding, strong wind and lightning; Very Low for heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $15.0 million a year, the 54th highest of 62 New York counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $12.0 million (80%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Warsaw
- Perry, NY8 mi
- Attica, NY9 mi
- Pavilion, NY12 mi
- Mount Morris, NY15 mi
- Arcade, NY16 mi
- Nunda, NY16 mi
- Batavia, NY18 mi
- Le Roy, NY19 mi
- South Wales, NY19 mi
- Geneseo, NY20 mi
- Fillmore, NY20 mi
- Corfu, NY20 mi
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