NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Carrollton, VA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
87 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Carrollton, Virginia since 1851, 14 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Ophelia in 2023. Since 1950, 94 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 14
- Tropical storms
- 73
- Tornadoes
- 94
- EF3 or stronger
- 3
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
2 deaths in all
What the records show for Carrollton
The strongest storm to pass near Carrollton was an unnamed storm in 1879, a Category 2 hurricane with 106 mph winds when its centre passed 49 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was an unnamed storm in 1933, whose centre came within 8 miles. The record near Carrollton begins with an unnamed storm in 1851; the most recent system was Ophelia in 2023, a tropical storm 69 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1880s, with 9 systems. Of the 87 systems, 16 have come since 2000. Carrollton has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 93% of the 364 Virginia cities on this site. The highest rating among the 94 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3 or EF3, reached 3 times; the most recent, on April 16, 2011, came within 17 miles. Of the 94, 2 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 48 have come since 2000. August has had the most tornadoes, 21. The most recent tornado was on June 16, 2023. Carrollton has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 91% of the 364 Virginia cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 45 times since 1974, with stones up to 2.5 inches (tennis ball size). Carrollton has more hail reports within 10 miles than 50% of the 364 Virginia cities.
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Tropical storms and hurricanes near Carrollton
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | OpheliaSep 23 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2021 | ElsaJul 9 | 28 mi | Tropical storm (53 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2021 | ClaudetteJun 21 | 61 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2020 | IsaiasAug 4 | 32 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2019 | NestorOct 20 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2018 | MichaelOct 12 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (62 mph) | Category 5 |
| 2013 | AndreaJun 7 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2011 | IreneAug 27 | 49 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 3 |
| 2008 | HannaSep 6 | 36 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2007 | GabrielleSep 10 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2006 | ErnestoSep 1 | 28 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2006 | AlbertoJun 14 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2004 | GastonAug 30 | 16 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2004 | CharleyAug 14 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Category 4 |
| 2003 | IsabelSep 18 | 63 mi | Category 1 (78 mph) | Category 5 |
| 2000 | HeleneSep 24 | 44 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1999 | FloydSep 16 | 27 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1998 | EarlSep 4 | 56 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1997 | DannyJul 24 | 31 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1996 | JosephineOct 8 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1996 | BerthaJul 13 | 16 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1992 | DanielleSep 25 | 63 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1986 | CharleyAug 18 | 50 mi | Category 1 (79 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1983 | DeanSep 30 | 52 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1972 | AgnesJun 22 | 73 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1971 | DoriaAug 28 | 19 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1970 | AlmaMay 27 | 40 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1969 | CamilleAug 20 | 13 mi | Tropical storm (41 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1967 | DoriaSep 16 | 46 mi | Tropical storm (59 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1965 | Unnamed 1965 stormJun 16 | 68 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1964 | CleoSep 1 | 44 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1963 | Unnamed 1963 stormJun 3 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1961 | Unnamed 1961 stormSep 14 | 23 mi | Tropical storm (51 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1960 | DonnaSep 12 | 65 mi | Category 2 (98 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1960 | BrendaJul 30 | overhead | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1959 | CindyJul 10 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1956 | Unnamed 1956 stormOct 18 | 51 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1956 | FlossySep 28 | 64 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1955 | IoneSep 20 | 50 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1955 | ConnieAug 13 | 22 mi | Category 1 (78 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1953 | BarbaraAug 14 | 52 mi | Category 1 (86 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1947 | Unnamed 1947 stormSep 25 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1944 | Unnamed 1944 stormOct 21 | 21 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1944 | Unnamed 1944 stormAug 2 | 70 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1943 | Unnamed 1943 stormOct 1 | 70 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1935 | Unnamed 1935 stormSep 6 | 8 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1933 | Unnamed 1933 stormAug 23 | 8 mi | Category 1 (78 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1929 | Unnamed 1929 stormOct 2 | 65 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormSep 19 | 43 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormAug 12 | 57 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1925 | Unnamed 1925 stormDec 3 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1924 | Unnamed 1924 stormSep 30 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (72 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1916 | Unnamed 1916 stormMay 16 | overhead | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1907 | Unnamed 1907 stormJun 30 | 42 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1904 | Unnamed 1904 stormSep 15 | 27 mi | Tropical storm (67 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormOct 12 | 66 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 16 | 36 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1899 | Unnamed 1899 stormOct 31 | 64 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1899 | Unnamed 1899 stormAug 18 | 64 mi | Category 1 (92 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1897 | Unnamed 1897 stormOct 25 | 66 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1894 | Unnamed 1894 stormOct 10 | 28 mi | Tropical storm (72 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1894 | Unnamed 1894 stormSep 29 | 70 mi | Category 1 (81 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 23 | 68 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormJun 17 | 49 mi | Tropical storm (62 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1889 | Unnamed 1889 stormSep 25 | 14 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormOct 11 | 64 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormSep 11 | 45 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1887 | Unnamed 1887 stormOct 21 | 49 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1886 | Unnamed 1886 stormJul 2 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1883 | Unnamed 1883 stormSep 12 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1882 | Unnamed 1882 stormSep 23 | 21 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1882 | Unnamed 1882 stormSep 11 | 38 mi | Tropical storm (51 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1881 | Unnamed 1881 stormSep 10 | 19 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1879 | Unnamed 1879 stormAug 18 | 49 mi | Category 2 (106 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormOct 23 | 30 mi | Category 2 (99 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1877 | Unnamed 1877 stormOct 4 | 35 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 17 | 42 mi | Category 1 (76 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1874 | Unnamed 1874 stormSep 29 | 17 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1872 | Unnamed 1872 stormOct 25 | 10 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1863 | Unnamed 1863 stormSep 18 | 20 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1861 | Unnamed 1861 stormNov 2 | 71 mi | Tropical storm (72 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1861 | Unnamed 1861 stormSep 27 | 18 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1859 | Unnamed 1859 stormSep 17 | 32 mi | Tropical storm (60 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1857 | Unnamed 1857 stormSep 14 | 60 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1856 | Unnamed 1856 stormAug 19 | 28 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1854 | Unnamed 1854 stormSep 10 | 29 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1851 | Unnamed 1851 stormAug 25 | 52 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Carrollton: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Carrollton
By decade
- 2020s10
- 2010s17(1 EF3+)
- 2000s21(1 EF3+)
- 1990s21
- 1980s3
- 1970s12(1 EF3+)
- 1960s5
- 1950s5
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2011 | EF3 | 17 mi | 26.47 mi | 2 / 24 |
| Apr 28, 2008 | EF3 | 8 mi | 24 mi | 0 / 200 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F3 | 7 mi | 2.5 mi | 0 / 2 |
| Mar 31, 2017 | EF2 | 22 mi | 8.86 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 16, 2011 | EF2 | 7 mi | 22.61 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 4, 1999 | F2 | 12 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 6 |
| Aug 6, 1993 | F2 | 17 mi | 2.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Nov 28, 1988 | F2 | 14 mi | 12 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F2 | 12 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 9 |
| Dec 24, 2020 | EF1 | 21 mi | 2.2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 4, 2020 | EF1 | 9 mi | 21 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Oct 31, 2019 | EF1 | 24 mi | 4.85 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 94, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Carrollton
The Storm Prediction Center has 45 hail reports within 10 miles of Carrollton since 1974, made on 31 separate days. Of these, 30 were 1 inch across or larger, and 3 reached 2 inches. The largest, 2.5 inches (tennis ball size), fell on July 1, 1990. The most recent report is from June 16, 2023. June has the most reports, 12.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Carrollton
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Newport News International Airport, VA, 13 miles north of Carrollton at 42 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 88°F and low of 70°F; January is the coolest, at 49°F and 31°F. August is the wettest at 5.4 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 2.6 inches; the year adds up to 45.5 inches over 73 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 58% of the year's precipitation (26.4 of 45.5 inches); the other six months are drier. September has brought the most of the 87 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (35); a normal September there has highs of 81°F and 5.0 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 43 days a year, almost all from May to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 64 nights a year. That 45.5 inches is more than at 50 of the 109 Virginia stations used on this site (46%). Hampton, 12 miles northeast, has its own station (Langley AFB, VA): 47.8 inches a year, 2.3 more than here, and a July average high of 87°F against 88°F.
Water temperature at the NOAA tide station Sewells Point, VA, 12 miles east, averaged 81°F in July and 44°F in January over 2021–2025. It averaged 80°F or warmer from July to August. Sea level at the Sewells Point tide gauge, 12 miles from Carrollton, has risen 1.90 ± 0.04 inches per decade from 1927 to 2025, NOAA's linear trend; at that pace it is 19.0 inches in a hundred years. That is faster than at 115 of the 144 U.S. gauges with a NOAA trend.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Water °F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 49 | 31 | 3.1 | 5 | 44 |
| Feb | 53 | 32 | 2.6 | 6 | 44 |
| Mar | 59 | 38 | 3.4 | 6 | 51 |
| Apr | 70 | 47 | 3.1 | 6 | 60 |
| May | 77 | 56 | 3.7 | 7 | 68 |
| Jun | 85 | 65 | 4.1 | 7 | 76 |
| Jul | 88 | 70 | 4.7 | 7 | 81 |
| Aug | 87 | 68 | 5.4 | 7 | 80 |
| Sep | 81 | 63 | 5.0 | 5 | 77 |
| Oct | 71 | 51 | 4.2 | 6 | 68 |
| Nov | 61 | 40 | 3.0 | 5 | 58 |
| Dec | 53 | 34 | 3.2 | 6 | 48 |
| Year | 69 | 50 | 45.5 | 73 | 63 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Newport News International Airport, VA (42 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals; water temperature: average of hourly readings 2021–2025 at the NOAA tide station Sewells Point, VA, from NOAA Tides & Currents. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Carrollton
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 260 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Carrollton: 150 thunderstorm wind reports, 52 heavy rain events, 41 flash floods, 13 floods and 4 lightning strikes. They killed 0 people and injured 1, and the NWS estimated $6.6 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 79 mph, on August 5, 2003. August has had the most flash floods, 12 of 41. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 286 have had fewer than Carrollton.
September 25, 2025: thunderstorm wind 8 miles from the centre of Carrollton — 1 injured, $10,000 damage.
October 6, 2006: heavy rain event 9 miles from the centre of Carrollton — $3.0 million damage.
October 8, 2016: flood 7 miles from the centre of Carrollton — $2.0 million damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Carrollton's ZIP code 23314 have filed 26 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1998, and were paid $395,000 for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The most came from Hurricane Isabel in 2003: 10 claims (38% of all) and $221,000. 81% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 183 Virginia cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 57 have fewer than Carrollton.
| Event | Claims | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Isabel2003 | 10 | $221,000 |
Isle of Wight County, which includes Carrollton, has been named in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 13 of them major disasters (by incident: 10 hurricanes, 3 severe storms, 2 biological emergencies, 2 snowstorms). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on April 2, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Isle of Wight County a Very Low rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively Moderate for hurricanes and coastal flooding; Relatively Low for tornadoes, hail, inland flooding, strong wind, lightning and heat waves. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $15.0 million a year, the 36th highest of 133 Virginia counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $5.5 million (36%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.
Cities near Carrollton
- Smithfield, VA6 mi
- Newport News, VA10 mi
- Hampton, VA12 mi
- Suffolk, VA12 mi
- Portsmouth, VA13 mi
- Windsor, VA13 mi
- Fort Eustis, VA14 mi
- Yorktown, VA15 mi
- Norfolk, VA16 mi
- Poquoson, VA16 mi
- Zuni, VA18 mi
- Seaford, VA18 mi
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