NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Mc Lean, VA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
30 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Mc Lean, Virginia since 1851, 3 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Zeta in 2020. Since 1950, 110 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 3
- Tropical storms
- 27
- Tornadoes
- 110
- EF3 or stronger
- 3
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
3 deaths in all
What the records show for Mc Lean
The strongest storm to pass near Mc Lean was an unnamed storm in 1878, a Category 1 hurricane with 92 mph winds when its centre crossed the city. The record near Mc Lean begins with an unnamed storm in 1876; the most recent system was Zeta in 2020, a tropical storm 57 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1890s, with 5 systems, one of them at hurricane strength. Of the 30 systems, 5 have come since 2000. Mc Lean has more hurricanes within 75 miles than 33% of the 364 Virginia cities on this site. The highest rating among the 110 tornadoes within 25 miles is F3, reached 3 times; the most recent, on September 24, 2001, came within 12 miles. Of the 110, 6 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 67 have come since 2000. June has had the most tornadoes, 21. The most recent tornado was on June 5, 2024. Mc Lean is tied for the most tornadoes within 25 miles among the 364 Virginia cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 177 times since 1968, with stones up to 3 inches (tea cup size). Mc Lean has more hail reports within 10 miles than 97% of the 364 Virginia cities.
Compare Mc Lean's storm record with another city →
Tropical storms and hurricanes near Mc Lean
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | ZetaOct 29 | 57 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 3 |
| 2020 | IsaiasAug 4 | 52 mi | Tropical storm (68 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2012 | SandyOct 30 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (61 mph) | Category 3 |
| 2008 | HannaSep 6 | 69 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2006 | ErnestoSep 2 | 27 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1996 | BerthaJul 13 | 73 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1979 | DavidSep 6 | 67 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1963 | Unnamed 1963 stormJun 3 | 74 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1955 | DianeAug 18 | 25 mi | Tropical storm (43 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1955 | ConnieAug 13 | 34 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1954 | HazelOct 15 | 18 mi | Category 1 (84 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1952 | AbleSep 1 | 21 mi | Tropical storm (56 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1949 | Unnamed 1949 stormAug 29 | 36 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1945 | Unnamed 1945 stormSep 18 | 35 mi | Tropical storm (39 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1944 | Unnamed 1944 stormAug 2 | 56 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1943 | Unnamed 1943 stormOct 1 | 27 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1934 | Unnamed 1934 stormJun 19 | 17 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1933 | Unnamed 1933 stormAug 24 | 1 mi | Tropical storm (62 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1929 | Unnamed 1929 stormOct 2 | 24 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1928 | Unnamed 1928 stormSep 20 | 30 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 4 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1899 | Unnamed 1899 stormNov 1 | 31 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 30 | 75 mi | Tropical storm (70 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 23 | 22 mi | Tropical storm (44 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormOct 14 | 47 mi | Category 1 (75 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 29 | 14 mi | Tropical storm (63 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormSep 11 | 72 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1885 | Unnamed 1885 stormOct 13 | 43 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormOct 23 | overhead | Category 1 (92 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1876 | Unnamed 1876 stormSep 18 | 17 mi | Tropical storm (66 mph) | Category 3 |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Mc Lean: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Mc Lean
By decade
- 2020s12
- 2010s31
- 2000s24(1 EF3+)
- 1990s24
- 1980s6
- 1970s7(2 EF3+)
- 1960s2
- 1950s4
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2001 | F3 | 12 mi | 17.5 mi | 2 / 55 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F3 | in town | 17.9 mi | 1 / 6 |
| Apr 1, 1973 | F3 | 5 mi | 9.8 mi | 0 / 37 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 12 mi | 15 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 25 mi | 4 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 24, 1996 | F2 | 7 mi | 20 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Oct 5, 1995 | F2 | 15 mi | 2.5 mi | 0 / 3 |
| Oct 13, 1983 | F2 | 4 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 28, 1981 | F2 | 13 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 3, 1980 | F2 | 23 mi | 2.7 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F2 | 21 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F2 | 21 mi | 0.5 mi | 0 / 2 |
The strongest 12 of 110, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Mc Lean
The Storm Prediction Center has 177 hail reports within 10 miles of Mc Lean since 1968, made on 86 separate days. Of these, 111 were 1 inch across or larger, and 6 reached 2 inches. The largest, 3 inches (tea cup size), fell on August 11, 2004. The most recent report is from May 16, 2025. June has the most reports, 52.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Mc Lean
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Dalecarlia Rsvr, MD, 4 miles east of Mc Lean at 150 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 88°F and low of 68°F; January is the coolest, at 43°F and 26°F. July is the wettest at 5.1 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 3.2 inches; the year adds up to 48.3 inches over 81 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 54% of the year's precipitation (25.9 of 48.3 inches); the other six months are drier. Highs reach 90°F on about 44 days a year, almost all from May to September. Lows fall below freezing on about 95 nights a year. Snowfall averages 5.8 inches a year, most of it in January. That 48.3 inches is more than at 88 of the 109 Virginia stations used on this site (81%). Vienna, 4 miles southwest, has its own station (Vienna, VA): 43.5 inches a year, 4.8 less than here, and a July average high of 84°F against 88°F.
Water temperature at the NOAA tide station Washington, DC, 10 miles southeast, averaged 84°F in July and 39°F in January over 2021–2025. It averaged 80°F or warmer from July to August. Sea level at the Washington tide gauge, 10 miles from Mc Lean, has risen 1.40 ± 0.05 inches per decade from 1924 to 2025, NOAA's linear trend; at that pace it is 14.0 inches in a hundred years. That is faster than at 84 of the 144 U.S. gauges with a NOAA trend.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in | Water °F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 43 | 26 | 3.3 | 6 | 2.9 | 39 |
| Feb | 46 | 27 | 3.2 | 6 | 1.4 | 41 |
| Mar | 55 | 34 | 4.2 | 8 | 0.7 | 50 |
| Apr | 68 | 44 | 3.5 | 7 | 0.0 | 60 |
| May | 76 | 54 | 4.4 | 8 | 0.0 | 69 |
| Jun | 84 | 63 | 4.2 | 7 | 0.0 | 77 |
| Jul | 88 | 68 | 5.1 | 7 | 0.0 | 84 |
| Aug | 86 | 66 | 4.4 | 7 | 0.0 | 82 |
| Sep | 79 | 59 | 4.5 | 7 | 0.0 | 76 |
| Oct | 68 | 47 | 4.4 | 6 | 0.0 | 66 |
| Nov | 56 | 36 | 3.3 | 6 | 0.0 | 54 |
| Dec | 47 | 30 | 3.8 | 7 | 0.8 | 42 |
| Year | 66 | 46 | 48.3 | 81 | 5.8 | 62 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Dalecarlia Rsvr, MD (150 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals; water temperature: average of hourly readings 2021–2025 at the NOAA tide station Washington, DC, from NOAA Tides & Currents. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Mc Lean
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 1,685 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Mc Lean: 991 thunderstorm wind reports, 362 floods, 323 flash floods, 8 lightning strikes and 1 heavy rain event. They killed 12 people and injured 46, and the NWS estimated $66.0 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 90 mph, on August 5, 2010. July has had the most flash floods, 150 of 323. Of the 364 Virginia cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 362 have had fewer than Mc Lean.
August 4, 2022: lightning strike 9 miles from the centre of Mc Lean — 3 killed.
June 26, 2009: thunderstorm wind 6 miles from the centre of Mc Lean — 2 killed, 6 injured.
June 27, 2015: flash flood 8 miles from the centre of Mc Lean — 2 killed, $10,000 damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Flood insurance policyholders in Mc Lean's 2 ZIP codes have filed 104 claims with the National Flood Insurance Program since 1979, and were paid $1.5 million for buildings and contents, in the dollars of each year. The year with the most claims was 2019, with 35. 13% of the claims carry the name of a storm or flood event; the rest have no event name. Of the 183 Virginia cities on this site with 10 or more claims, 135 have fewer than Mc Lean.
Fairfax County, which includes Mc Lean, has been named in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1972, 13 of them major disasters (by incident: 5 hurricanes, 5 snowstorms, 4 severe storms, 2 biological emergencies). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on April 2, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Fairfax County a Relatively High rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Very High for lightning; Relatively High for hail, inland flooding, strong wind and heat waves; Relatively Moderate for hurricanes; Relatively Low for tornadoes and coastal flooding. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $219.1 million a year, the highest of 133 Virginia counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $154.7 million (71%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.