NHC HURDAT2 · SPC Tornado Database
Hurricanes and Tornadoes That Hit Carlisle, MA
Every tropical system within 75 miles since 1851 and every tornado within 25 miles since 1950.
Data: NOAA NHC HURDAT2 and NOAA SPC tornado and hail reports, through 2025 · Updated
45 tropical systems have passed within 75 miles of Carlisle, Massachusetts since 1851, 8 of them at hurricane strength; the most recent was Elsa in 2021. Since 1950, 53 tornadoes have touched down within 25 miles, 3 of them rated EF3 or stronger.
- Hurricanes
- 8
- Tropical storms
- 37
- Tornadoes
- 53
- EF3 or stronger
- 3
within 75 mi, since 1851
below hurricane strength
within 25 mi, since 1950
96 deaths in all
What the records show for Carlisle
The strongest storm to pass near Carlisle was an unnamed storm in 1869, a Category 2 hurricane with 104 mph winds when its centre passed 54 miles away. The closest pass by a hurricane was an unnamed storm in 1858, whose centre came within 5 miles. The record near Carlisle begins with an unnamed storm in 1851; the most recent system was Elsa in 2021, a tropical storm 38 miles away. The busiest decade was the 1960s, with 6 systems. Of the 45 systems, 5 have come since 2000. Of the 346 Massachusetts cities on this site, 76% have more hurricanes within 75 miles than Carlisle. The strongest of the 53 tornadoes within 25 miles was an F4 on June 9, 1953; its path came within 18 miles, and it killed 94 people. Of the 53, 4 had paths within 5 miles of the city centre, and 9 have come since 2000. July has had the most tornadoes, 18. The most recent tornado was on September 6, 2025. Carlisle has more tornadoes within 25 miles than 61% of the 346 Massachusetts cities. Hail has been reported within 10 miles 51 times since 1955, with stones up to 2.25 inches. Of the 346 Massachusetts cities, 54% have more hail reports within 10 miles than Carlisle.
Compare Carlisle's storm record with another city →
Tropical storms and hurricanes near Carlisle
| Year | Storm | Closest | Strength when closest | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | ElsaJul 9 | 38 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2013 | AndreaJun 8 | 41 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2008 | HannaSep 7 | 25 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 1 |
| 2007 | BarryJun 4 | 29 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 2004 | HermineAug 31 | 75 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1999 | FloydSep 17 | 8 mi | Tropical storm (55 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1996 | BerthaJul 14 | 3 mi | Tropical storm (68 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1991 | BobAug 19 | 36 mi | Category 1 (87 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1985 | GloriaSep 27 | 42 mi | Category 1 (79 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1976 | BelleAug 10 | 54 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1971 | DoriaAug 28 | 62 mi | Tropical storm (54 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1968 | Unnamed 1968 stormSep 11 | 68 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1966 | AlmaJun 14 | 57 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1961 | EstherSep 26 | 64 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1961 | Unnamed 1961 stormSep 15 | 9 mi | Tropical storm (66 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1960 | DonnaSep 12 | 3 mi | Tropical storm (72 mph) | Category 4 |
| 1960 | BrendaJul 30 | 25 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1959 | CindyJul 11 | 62 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1954 | CarolAug 31 | 12 mi | Category 2 (99 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1944 | Unnamed 1944 stormSep 15 | 37 mi | Category 1 (74 mph) | Category 5 |
| 1934 | Unnamed 1934 stormSep 9 | 29 mi | Tropical storm (47 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1923 | Unnamed 1923 stormOct 19 | 17 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1916 | Unnamed 1916 stormJul 21 | 34 mi | Tropical storm (59 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1916 | Unnamed 1916 stormMay 17 | overhead | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1915 | Unnamed 1915 stormAug 5 | 43 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1908 | Unnamed 1908 stormMay 31 | 7 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1907 | Unnamed 1907 stormJun 30 | 57 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1904 | Unnamed 1904 stormSep 15 | 62 mi | Category 1 (85 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1902 | Unnamed 1902 stormJun 17 | 21 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1899 | Unnamed 1899 stormNov 1 | 75 mi | Tropical storm (52 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1897 | Unnamed 1897 stormSep 24 | 6 mi | Tropical storm (45 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1896 | Unnamed 1896 stormSep 10 | 38 mi | Tropical storm (61 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1894 | Unnamed 1894 stormOct 10 | 11 mi | Tropical storm (61 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1893 | Unnamed 1893 stormAug 29 | 61 mi | Tropical storm (61 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormSep 12 | 28 mi | Tropical storm (40 mph) | Tropical storm |
| 1888 | Unnamed 1888 stormAug 22 | 29 mi | Tropical storm (48 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1878 | Unnamed 1878 stormOct 24 | 25 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1874 | Unnamed 1874 stormSep 30 | 17 mi | Tropical storm (69 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1872 | Unnamed 1872 stormOct 27 | 48 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1869 | Unnamed 1869 stormOct 4 | 54 mi | Category 2 (104 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1869 | Unnamed 1869 stormSep 8 | 7 mi | Category 2 (97 mph) | Category 3 |
| 1861 | Unnamed 1861 stormNov 3 | 11 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1861 | Unnamed 1861 stormSep 28 | 11 mi | Tropical storm (58 mph) | Category 1 |
| 1858 | Unnamed 1858 stormSep 16 | 5 mi | Category 1 (74 mph) | Category 2 |
| 1851 | Unnamed 1851 stormOct 19 | 39 mi | Tropical storm (46 mph) | Tropical storm |
Strength is the sustained wind on the track at the closest point, which is not the wind felt in Carlisle: a hurricane's worst winds sit within a few dozen miles of its centre, and inland cities are usually past that.
Tornadoes within 25 miles of Carlisle
By decade
- 2020s7
- 2010s2
- 1990s1
- 1980s6
- 1970s10(2 EF3+)
- 1960s13
- 1950s14(1 EF3+)
| Date | Rating | Distance | Path | Killed / injured |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 1953 | F4 | 18 mi | 34.9 mi | 94 / 1228 |
| Oct 3, 1970 | F3 | 9 mi | 35.4 mi | 1 / 0 |
| Sep 29, 1974 | F3 | 8 mi | 0.1 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Jul 28, 2014 | EF2 | 19 mi | 1.93 mi | 0 / 2 |
| Jul 21, 1972 | F2 | 4 mi | 7.6 mi | 0 / 4 |
| Aug 28, 1965 | F2 | 12 mi | 2 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 9, 1963 | F2 | 24 mi | 10 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 20, 1963 | F2 | 16 mi | 0.3 mi | 0 / 0 |
| May 20, 1963 | F2 | 20 mi | 1.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 2, 1961 | F2 | 18 mi | 5.1 mi | 0 / 1 |
| Aug 25, 1958 | F2 | 18 mi | 1 mi | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 11, 1958 | F2 | 3 mi | 1.5 mi | 0 / 0 |
The strongest 12 of 53, by rating and then by deaths. Ratings before February 2007 are on the original Fujita scale.
Hail in Carlisle
The Storm Prediction Center has 51 hail reports within 10 miles of Carlisle since 1955, made on 35 separate days. Of these, 17 were 1 inch across or larger, and 3 reached 2 inches. The largest, 2.25 inches, fell on June 22, 1988. The most recent report is from June 6, 2025. July has the most reports, 17.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather reports, data through 2025.
Weather by month in Carlisle
The nearest NOAA station with 1991–2020 climate normals is Bedford, MA, 5 miles southeast of Carlisle at 160 feet. July is the warmest, with an average high of 84°F and low of 61°F; January is the coolest, at 36°F and 18°F. October is the wettest at 4.9 inches of precipitation on average and February the driest at 3.4 inches; the year adds up to 49.0 inches over 85 days with at least a tenth of an inch. June to November, the hurricane season months, bring 50% of the year's precipitation (24.5 of 49.0 inches). September has brought the most of the 45 tropical systems that passed within 75 miles (17); a normal September there has highs of 74°F and 3.7 inches of precipitation. Highs reach 90°F on about 13 days a year, almost all from June to August. Lows fall below freezing on about 140 nights a year. Snowfall averages 59.0 inches a year, most of it in January. That 49.0 inches is more than at 38 of the 65 Massachusetts stations used on this site (58%). North Billerica, 4 miles northeast, has its own station (Lowell, MA): 48.6 inches a year, 0.4 less than here, and a July average high of 85°F against 84°F.
Sea level at the Boston tide gauge, 20 miles from Carlisle, has risen 1.17 ± 0.03 inches per decade from 1921 to 2025, NOAA's linear trend; at that pace it is 11.7 inches in a hundred years. That is faster than at 68 of the 144 U.S. gauges with a NOAA trend.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | Days ≥ 0.1" | Snow in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 36 | 18 | 3.8 | 7 | 16.1 |
| Feb | 39 | 19 | 3.4 | 7 | 12.5 |
| Mar | 47 | 27 | 4.8 | 8 | 12.9 |
| Apr | 59 | 36 | 3.9 | 8 | 2.3 |
| May | 70 | 46 | 3.8 | 8 | 0.0 |
| Jun | 78 | 55 | 4.1 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Jul | 84 | 61 | 3.8 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Aug | 82 | 60 | 3.9 | 6 | 0.0 |
| Sep | 74 | 52 | 3.7 | 7 | 0.0 |
| Oct | 62 | 41 | 4.9 | 6 | 0.1 |
| Nov | 51 | 31 | 4.1 | 7 | 1.9 |
| Dec | 41 | 23 | 4.8 | 8 | 13.2 |
| Year | 60 | 39 | 49.0 | 85 | 59.0 |
Averages for 1991–2020 at Bedford, MA (160 ft), from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Normals describe the station; the farther a place is from it, and the bigger the difference in height, the more its weather can differ.
Floods, thunderstorm wind and lightning near Carlisle
Since 1996, the National Weather Service has logged 240 flood, rain, thunderstorm wind and lightning events that began within 10 miles of Carlisle: 170 thunderstorm wind reports, 39 floods, 16 lightning strikes and 15 flash floods. They killed 0 people and injured 5, and the NWS estimated $2.8 million in property and crop damage. The strongest thunderstorm gust on record here was 100 mph, on July 7, 2014. July has had the most flash floods, 9 of 15. Of the 339 Massachusetts cities on this site with a flash flood on record, 130 have had fewer than Carlisle.
May 19, 2026: thunderstorm wind 5 miles from the centre of Carlisle — 2 injured, $5,000 damage.
September 6, 2014: thunderstorm wind 8 miles from the centre of Carlisle — 1 injured, $10,000 damage.
August 3, 2008: lightning strike 10 miles from the centre of Carlisle — 1 injured, $5,000 damage.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, events whose starting point is on record, 1996 to June 30, 2026. Damage is the NWS estimate in the dollars of the year, not insured losses, and NWS notes that some reports are unverified.
Flood insurance claims, disaster declarations and FEMA risk ratings
Middlesex County, which includes Carlisle, has been named in 35 federal disaster or emergency declarations since 1985, 19 of them major disasters (by incident: 9 severe storms, 8 snowstorms, 7 hurricanes, 5 floods). The latest major disaster declaration was Covid-19 Pandemic, on March 27, 2020. FEMA's National Risk Index gives Middlesex County a Relatively High rating for natural hazard risk overall; by hazard: Relatively High for hurricanes, inland flooding, strong wind and lightning; Relatively Moderate for tornadoes and heat waves; Relatively Low for coastal flooding; Very Low for hail. It models the county's expected loss from all 18 hazards it covers at $321.9 million a year, the highest of 14 Massachusetts counties; of the hazards above, the largest share, $224.4 million (70%), is from inland flooding.
Claims: FEMA, OpenFEMA Dataset FIMA NFIP Redacted Claims – v3, summed over ZIP codes; payments in the dollars of each year, not adjusted for inflation. Declarations: Disaster Declarations Summaries – v2, by county. Retrieved October 25, 2026. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Risk ratings: FEMA, National Risk Index county table, December 2025 (v1.20), retrieved October 26, 2026; ratings compare counties nationwide, are meant for planning and are no substitute for a local risk assessment. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
What counts as a pass, the distances and the sources: how this storm history is built.